Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Kristina Knickerbocker (D), who won a fragmented Democratic primary with just 33% amid low turnout from six candidates. Traders price Republicans at 73.5% implied probability to hold the Solid Republican-rated OH-10, anchored by Turner's consistent 57-62% victories in recent cycles, superior fundraising ($558,000 cash on hand vs. Knickerbocker's $34,000), and the district's R+4 partisan lean under 2025 redistricting that shifted it two points right. No head-to-head polls exist, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball affirm safe incumbent territory ahead of November 3 voting, with early ballots starting October 6.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,726 거래량
$17,726 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
74%
민주당
25%
$17,726 거래량
$17,726 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$7,485 거래량
74%
민주당
$10,241 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Kristina Knickerbocker (D), who won a fragmented Democratic primary with just 33% amid low turnout from six candidates. Traders price Republicans at 73.5% implied probability to hold the Solid Republican-rated OH-10, anchored by Turner's consistent 57-62% victories in recent cycles, superior fundraising ($558,000 cash on hand vs. Knickerbocker's $34,000), and the district's R+4 partisan lean under 2025 redistricting that shifted it two points right. No head-to-head polls exist, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball affirm safe incumbent territory ahead of November 3 voting, with early ballots starting October 6.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$17,726종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Kristina Knickerbocker (D), who won a fragmented Democratic primary with just 33% amid low turnout from six candidates. Traders price Republicans at 73.5% implied probability to hold the Solid Republican-rated OH-10, anchored by Turner's consistent 57-62% victories in recent cycles, superior fundraising ($558,000 cash on hand vs. Knickerbocker's $34,000), and the district's R+4 partisan lean under 2025 redistricting that shifted it two points right. No head-to-head polls exist, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball affirm safe incumbent territory ahead of November 3 voting, with early ballots starting October 6.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$17,726종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Turner (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Kristina Knickerbocker (D), who won a fragmented Democratic primary with just 33% amid low turnout from six candidates. Traders price Republicans at 73.5% implied probability to hold the Solid Republican-rated OH-10, anchored by Turner's consistent 57-62% victories in recent cycles, superior fundraising ($558,000 cash on hand vs. Knickerbocker's $34,000), and the district's R+4 partisan lean under 2025 redistricting that shifted it two points right. No head-to-head polls exist, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball affirm safe incumbent territory ahead of November 3 voting, with early ballots starting October 6.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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