Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI majority-minority seat spanning New Orleans and Baton Rouge where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 83%. No Republican candidates filed by the February deadline, canceling the GOP primary and guaranteeing a Democratic nominee advances in the state's open primary system. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, suspending May 16 partisan primaries and prompting new qualifying in late July, though district fundamentals favor Democrats amid Carter's dominant past wins (60% in 2024) and superior fundraising over challenger Renada Collins. GOP odds at 8.6% reflect absent opposition, with uncertainty tied to potential map redraws.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$40,625 거래량
$40,625 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
83%
공화당
9%
$40,625 거래량
$40,625 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$20,941 거래량
83%
공화당
$19,684 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI majority-minority seat spanning New Orleans and Baton Rouge where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 83%. No Republican candidates filed by the February deadline, canceling the GOP primary and guaranteeing a Democratic nominee advances in the state's open primary system. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, suspending May 16 partisan primaries and prompting new qualifying in late July, though district fundamentals favor Democrats amid Carter's dominant past wins (60% in 2024) and superior fundraising over challenger Renada Collins. GOP odds at 8.6% reflect absent opposition, with uncertainty tied to potential map redraws.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$40,625종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI majority-minority seat spanning New Orleans and Baton Rouge where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 83%. No Republican candidates filed by the February deadline, canceling the GOP primary and guaranteeing a Democratic nominee advances in the state's open primary system. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, suspending May 16 partisan primaries and prompting new qualifying in late July, though district fundamentals favor Democrats amid Carter's dominant past wins (60% in 2024) and superior fundraising over challenger Renada Collins. GOP odds at 8.6% reflect absent opposition, with uncertainty tied to potential map redraws.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$40,625종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI majority-minority seat spanning New Orleans and Baton Rouge where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 83%. No Republican candidates filed by the February deadline, canceling the GOP primary and guaranteeing a Democratic nominee advances in the state's open primary system. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, suspending May 16 partisan primaries and prompting new qualifying in late July, though district fundamentals favor Democrats amid Carter's dominant past wins (60% in 2024) and superior fundraising over challenger Renada Collins. GOP odds at 8.6% reflect absent opposition, with uncertainty tied to potential map redraws.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문