Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick's unopposed path through Georgia's May 19 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 79% for a GOP hold in the R+11 district, where he won by nearly 30 points in 2024 against Democrat Bob Christian. The crowded Democratic primary—featuring immigration attorney Tony Kozycki, union technician Case Norton, retired EPA scientist Larry Long, and others—lacks a clear frontrunner, diluting resources ahead of the November 3 general election. With no recent polling but historical margins and partisan lean favoring Republicans, markets price in low upset risk barring unforeseen scandals or national shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,796 거래량
$10,796 거래량
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
15%
$10,796 거래량
$10,796 거래량
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick's unopposed path through Georgia's May 19 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 79% for a GOP hold in the R+11 district, where he won by nearly 30 points in 2024 against Democrat Bob Christian. The crowded Democratic primary—featuring immigration attorney Tony Kozycki, union technician Case Norton, retired EPA scientist Larry Long, and others—lacks a clear frontrunner, diluting resources ahead of the November 3 general election. With no recent polling but historical margins and partisan lean favoring Republicans, markets price in low upset risk barring unforeseen scandals or national shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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