Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary to face each other in the November general election for the 7th congressional district. The seat sits in a heavily Democratic area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+16 following 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50, and nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic. With both major-party nominees from the same side and no Republican advancing, trader consensus reflects the structural lock on the outcome. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen legal barriers remain the only realistic paths that could alter the result before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-07 House Election Winner
CA-07 House Election Winner
$12,139 거래량
$12,139 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$12,139 거래량
$12,139 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,323 거래량
96%
Republican Party
$5,816 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary to face each other in the November general election for the 7th congressional district. The seat sits in a heavily Democratic area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+16 following 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50, and nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic. With both major-party nominees from the same side and no Republican advancing, trader consensus reflects the structural lock on the outcome. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen legal barriers remain the only realistic paths that could alter the result before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$12,139종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary to face each other in the November general election for the 7th congressional district. The seat sits in a heavily Democratic area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+16 following 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50, and nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic. With both major-party nominees from the same side and no Republican advancing, trader consensus reflects the structural lock on the outcome. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen legal barriers remain the only realistic paths that could alter the result before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,139종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary to face each other in the November general election for the 7th congressional district. The seat sits in a heavily Democratic area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+16 following 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50, and nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic. With both major-party nominees from the same side and no Republican advancing, trader consensus reflects the structural lock on the outcome. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen legal barriers remain the only realistic paths that could alter the result before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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