Indiana’s 9th congressional district carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican strength in recent presidential voting and incumbent Erin Houchin’s 64.5 percent general-election margin in 2024. Houchin advanced unopposed through the May 5, 2026 Republican primary while Democratic candidates remain low-profile and untested at the federal level. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican on the basis of these fundamentals and the absence of credible opposition. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural edge. A late surge in national Democratic momentum, an unusually strong Democratic nominee, or an unforeseen local development could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited room for such shifts before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,193 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$785 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana’s 9th congressional district carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican strength in recent presidential voting and incumbent Erin Houchin’s 64.5 percent general-election margin in 2024. Houchin advanced unopposed through the May 5, 2026 Republican primary while Democratic candidates remain low-profile and untested at the federal level. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican on the basis of these fundamentals and the absence of credible opposition. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural edge. A late surge in national Democratic momentum, an unusually strong Democratic nominee, or an unforeseen local development could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited room for such shifts before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$3,978종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana’s 9th congressional district carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican strength in recent presidential voting and incumbent Erin Houchin’s 64.5 percent general-election margin in 2024. Houchin advanced unopposed through the May 5, 2026 Republican primary while Democratic candidates remain low-profile and untested at the federal level. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican on the basis of these fundamentals and the absence of credible opposition. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural edge. A late surge in national Democratic momentum, an unusually strong Democratic nominee, or an unforeseen local development could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited room for such shifts before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,978종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Indiana’s 9th congressional district carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican strength in recent presidential voting and incumbent Erin Houchin’s 64.5 percent general-election margin in 2024. Houchin advanced unopposed through the May 5, 2026 Republican primary while Democratic candidates remain low-profile and untested at the federal level. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican on the basis of these fundamentals and the absence of credible opposition. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural edge. A late surge in national Democratic momentum, an unusually strong Democratic nominee, or an unforeseen local development could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited room for such shifts before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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