Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a clear edge in voter registration, underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 91.5 percent. Takano's established fundraising advantage, prior reelection margins exceeding 55 percent, and lack of competitive primary opposition further reinforce expectations that he will advance and prevail in November. A Republican upset in the primary or general election remains possible only through an unforeseen national midterm shift, late scandal, or significant turnout surge, though such outcomes have historically been rare in comparably safe seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$32,791 거래량
$32,791 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
8%
$32,791 거래량
$32,791 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$26,629 거래량
92%
공화당
$6,162 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a clear edge in voter registration, underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 91.5 percent. Takano's established fundraising advantage, prior reelection margins exceeding 55 percent, and lack of competitive primary opposition further reinforce expectations that he will advance and prevail in November. A Republican upset in the primary or general election remains possible only through an unforeseen national midterm shift, late scandal, or significant turnout surge, though such outcomes have historically been rare in comparably safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$32,791종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a clear edge in voter registration, underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 91.5 percent. Takano's established fundraising advantage, prior reelection margins exceeding 55 percent, and lack of competitive primary opposition further reinforce expectations that he will advance and prevail in November. A Republican upset in the primary or general election remains possible only through an unforeseen national midterm shift, late scandal, or significant turnout surge, though such outcomes have historically been rare in comparably safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$32,791종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a clear edge in voter registration, underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 91.5 percent. Takano's established fundraising advantage, prior reelection margins exceeding 55 percent, and lack of competitive primary opposition further reinforce expectations that he will advance and prevail in November. A Republican upset in the primary or general election remains possible only through an unforeseen national midterm shift, late scandal, or significant turnout surge, though such outcomes have historically been rare in comparably safe seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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