Recent mid-decade redistricting, signed into law by Gov. Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, has reshaped Florida's 9th Congressional District by removing urban Orlando areas and adding rural Indian River County and southern regions, boosting Donald Trump's 2024 vote share from 51% to 58% and eliminating its majority-Hispanic status. This shift prompted forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican, fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for the Republican Party nominee over incumbent Darren Soto's Democrats at 40.5%. GOP primary contenders include well-funded rematch candidate Thomas Chalifoux, who announced his continued bid on May 11, and recent entrant fighter pilot Justin Story, with filing deadline June 12 ahead of August 18 primaries. No district-specific polls yet, underscoring early-cycle uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,073 거래량
$13,073 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
43%
Democratic Party
41%
$13,073 거래량
$13,073 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$7,958 거래량
43%
Democratic Party
$5,114 거래량
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent mid-decade redistricting, signed into law by Gov. Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, has reshaped Florida's 9th Congressional District by removing urban Orlando areas and adding rural Indian River County and southern regions, boosting Donald Trump's 2024 vote share from 51% to 58% and eliminating its majority-Hispanic status. This shift prompted forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican, fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for the Republican Party nominee over incumbent Darren Soto's Democrats at 40.5%. GOP primary contenders include well-funded rematch candidate Thomas Chalifoux, who announced his continued bid on May 11, and recent entrant fighter pilot Justin Story, with filing deadline June 12 ahead of August 18 primaries. No district-specific polls yet, underscoring early-cycle uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
거래량
$13,073종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent mid-decade redistricting, signed into law by Gov. Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, has reshaped Florida's 9th Congressional District by removing urban Orlando areas and adding rural Indian River County and southern regions, boosting Donald Trump's 2024 vote share from 51% to 58% and eliminating its majority-Hispanic status. This shift prompted forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican, fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for the Republican Party nominee over incumbent Darren Soto's Democrats at 40.5%. GOP primary contenders include well-funded rematch candidate Thomas Chalifoux, who announced his continued bid on May 11, and recent entrant fighter pilot Justin Story, with filing deadline June 12 ahead of August 18 primaries. No district-specific polls yet, underscoring early-cycle uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,073종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mid-decade redistricting, signed into law by Gov. Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, has reshaped Florida's 9th Congressional District by removing urban Orlando areas and adding rural Indian River County and southern regions, boosting Donald Trump's 2024 vote share from 51% to 58% and eliminating its majority-Hispanic status. This shift prompted forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican, fueling trader consensus at 53.5% for the Republican Party nominee over incumbent Darren Soto's Democrats at 40.5%. GOP primary contenders include well-funded rematch candidate Thomas Chalifoux, who announced his continued bid on May 11, and recent entrant fighter pilot Justin Story, with filing deadline June 12 ahead of August 18 primaries. No district-specific polls yet, underscoring early-cycle uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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