Florida's 9th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state redistricting, finalized in May 2026 after legislative approval and court review, has shifted boundaries to produce a more Republican-leaning map statewide, rated "Likely Republican" by major forecasters. Soto's 2024 performance exceeded the presidential ticket but faces an uphill path under the new lines encompassing parts of Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes and the broader midterm environment, with limited late developments altering positioning since qualifying closed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트FL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$14,287 거래량
$14,287 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
30%
$14,287 거래량
$14,287 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,220 거래량
69%
Democratic Party
$6,067 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state redistricting, finalized in May 2026 after legislative approval and court review, has shifted boundaries to produce a more Republican-leaning map statewide, rated "Likely Republican" by major forecasters. Soto's 2024 performance exceeded the presidential ticket but faces an uphill path under the new lines encompassing parts of Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes and the broader midterm environment, with limited late developments altering positioning since qualifying closed.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
거래량
$14,287종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state redistricting, finalized in May 2026 after legislative approval and court review, has shifted boundaries to produce a more Republican-leaning map statewide, rated "Likely Republican" by major forecasters. Soto's 2024 performance exceeded the presidential ticket but faces an uphill path under the new lines encompassing parts of Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes and the broader midterm environment, with limited late developments altering positioning since qualifying closed.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,287종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state redistricting, finalized in May 2026 after legislative approval and court review, has shifted boundaries to produce a more Republican-leaning map statewide, rated "Likely Republican" by major forecasters. Soto's 2024 performance exceeded the presidential ticket but faces an uphill path under the new lines encompassing parts of Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes and the broader midterm environment, with limited late developments altering positioning since qualifying closed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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