Washington's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results favoring the party by double-digit margins. Incumbent Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63% in 2024, faces a nonpartisan primary on August 4, 2026, against several Democratic challengers and one Republican candidate, Mary Silva. DelBene's established fundraising advantage and the district's Seattle-suburban voter base underpin trader consensus around a 93% probability for the Democratic nominee advancing to and winning the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited but could stem from an unexpected primary outcome or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in this safely held seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트WA-01 House Election Winner
WA-01 House Election Winner
$20,929 거래량
$20,929 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$20,929 거래량
$20,929 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$11,296 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$9,633 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results favoring the party by double-digit margins. Incumbent Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63% in 2024, faces a nonpartisan primary on August 4, 2026, against several Democratic challengers and one Republican candidate, Mary Silva. DelBene's established fundraising advantage and the district's Seattle-suburban voter base underpin trader consensus around a 93% probability for the Democratic nominee advancing to and winning the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited but could stem from an unexpected primary outcome or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$20,929종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results favoring the party by double-digit margins. Incumbent Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63% in 2024, faces a nonpartisan primary on August 4, 2026, against several Democratic challengers and one Republican candidate, Mary Silva. DelBene's established fundraising advantage and the district's Seattle-suburban voter base underpin trader consensus around a 93% probability for the Democratic nominee advancing to and winning the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited but could stem from an unexpected primary outcome or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,929종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results favoring the party by double-digit margins. Incumbent Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63% in 2024, faces a nonpartisan primary on August 4, 2026, against several Democratic challengers and one Republican candidate, Mary Silva. DelBene's established fundraising advantage and the district's Seattle-suburban voter base underpin trader consensus around a 93% probability for the Democratic nominee advancing to and winning the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited but could stem from an unexpected primary outcome or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in this safely held seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문