**Janelle Stelson's commanding 98% odds in the May 19 Democratic primary have solidified her as the nominee against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in Pennsylvania's competitive 10th Congressional District, fueling trader consensus at 70.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3.** This rematch follows Stelson's narrow 2024 loss, with her momentum boosted by superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.4 million raised, outpacing all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and nearly doubling Perry's haul. Earlier polls, including PPP surveys from late 2025 showing Stelson ahead 46-43% and 48-44%, plus Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating highlighting Perry's vulnerability, reflect Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee early targeting and battleground dynamics in this R-leaning Harrisburg-area district. Upcoming primary results could further shape probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
30%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$57 거래량
69%
Republican Party
$380 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Janelle Stelson's commanding 98% odds in the May 19 Democratic primary have solidified her as the nominee against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in Pennsylvania's competitive 10th Congressional District, fueling trader consensus at 70.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3.** This rematch follows Stelson's narrow 2024 loss, with her momentum boosted by superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.4 million raised, outpacing all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and nearly doubling Perry's haul. Earlier polls, including PPP surveys from late 2025 showing Stelson ahead 46-43% and 48-44%, plus Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating highlighting Perry's vulnerability, reflect Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee early targeting and battleground dynamics in this R-leaning Harrisburg-area district. Upcoming primary results could further shape probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
거래량
$437종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Janelle Stelson's commanding 98% odds in the May 19 Democratic primary have solidified her as the nominee against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in Pennsylvania's competitive 10th Congressional District, fueling trader consensus at 70.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3.** This rematch follows Stelson's narrow 2024 loss, with her momentum boosted by superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.4 million raised, outpacing all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and nearly doubling Perry's haul. Earlier polls, including PPP surveys from late 2025 showing Stelson ahead 46-43% and 48-44%, plus Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating highlighting Perry's vulnerability, reflect Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee early targeting and battleground dynamics in this R-leaning Harrisburg-area district. Upcoming primary results could further shape probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$437종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Janelle Stelson's commanding 98% odds in the May 19 Democratic primary have solidified her as the nominee against incumbent Republican Scott Perry in Pennsylvania's competitive 10th Congressional District, fueling trader consensus at 70.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3.** This rematch follows Stelson's narrow 2024 loss, with her momentum boosted by superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.4 million raised, outpacing all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and nearly doubling Perry's haul. Earlier polls, including PPP surveys from late 2025 showing Stelson ahead 46-43% and 48-44%, plus Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating highlighting Perry's vulnerability, reflect Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee early targeting and battleground dynamics in this R-leaning Harrisburg-area district. Upcoming primary results could further shape probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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