Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on his commanding position in the solidly Republican TX-01 district (Cook PVI R+24). The district, spanning rural Northeast Texas including Tyler and Texarkana, consistently delivers overwhelming Republican margins, as seen in Moran's prior unopposed general election win. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander amid dismal fundraising—Moran holds over $634,000 cash on hand versus Democrats' under $2,000—signaling weak opposition. An independent, Sonia Canchola, appears on the November 3 ballot but poses minimal threat. Realistic challenges include a Moran scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,625 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$3,487 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on his commanding position in the solidly Republican TX-01 district (Cook PVI R+24). The district, spanning rural Northeast Texas including Tyler and Texarkana, consistently delivers overwhelming Republican margins, as seen in Moran's prior unopposed general election win. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander amid dismal fundraising—Moran holds over $634,000 cash on hand versus Democrats' under $2,000—signaling weak opposition. An independent, Sonia Canchola, appears on the November 3 ballot but poses minimal threat. Realistic challenges include a Moran scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$7,112종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on his commanding position in the solidly Republican TX-01 district (Cook PVI R+24). The district, spanning rural Northeast Texas including Tyler and Texarkana, consistently delivers overwhelming Republican margins, as seen in Moran's prior unopposed general election win. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander amid dismal fundraising—Moran holds over $634,000 cash on hand versus Democrats' under $2,000—signaling weak opposition. An independent, Sonia Canchola, appears on the November 3 ballot but poses minimal threat. Realistic challenges include a Moran scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,112종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, primary with 100% of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on his commanding position in the solidly Republican TX-01 district (Cook PVI R+24). The district, spanning rural Northeast Texas including Tyler and Texarkana, consistently delivers overwhelming Republican margins, as seen in Moran's prior unopposed general election win. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander amid dismal fundraising—Moran holds over $634,000 cash on hand versus Democrats' under $2,000—signaling weak opposition. An independent, Sonia Canchola, appears on the November 3 ballot but poses minimal threat. Realistic challenges include a Moran scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this safe seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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