Incumbent Republican Ben Cline's strong fundraising and unopposed primary position him as the clear favorite in Virginia's 6th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index where he has won decisively since 2019. Trader consensus at 69.5% for Republican victory reflects the Virginia Supreme Court's May 2026 ruling striking down a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving the current GOP-friendly lines and prompting Democratic primary shakeups—including Hugh Murray's withdrawal and Tom Perriello's shift to VA-05—leaving a fragmented field led by Beth Macy ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Absent a national wave or surprise polling shift, structural advantages sustain the lopsided odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$79,256 거래량
$79,256 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
70%
민주당
16%
$79,256 거래량
$79,256 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$25,944 거래량
70%
민주당
$53,313 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline's strong fundraising and unopposed primary position him as the clear favorite in Virginia's 6th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index where he has won decisively since 2019. Trader consensus at 69.5% for Republican victory reflects the Virginia Supreme Court's May 2026 ruling striking down a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving the current GOP-friendly lines and prompting Democratic primary shakeups—including Hugh Murray's withdrawal and Tom Perriello's shift to VA-05—leaving a fragmented field led by Beth Macy ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Absent a national wave or surprise polling shift, structural advantages sustain the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$79,256종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline's strong fundraising and unopposed primary position him as the clear favorite in Virginia's 6th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index where he has won decisively since 2019. Trader consensus at 69.5% for Republican victory reflects the Virginia Supreme Court's May 2026 ruling striking down a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving the current GOP-friendly lines and prompting Democratic primary shakeups—including Hugh Murray's withdrawal and Tom Perriello's shift to VA-05—leaving a fragmented field led by Beth Macy ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Absent a national wave or surprise polling shift, structural advantages sustain the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$79,256종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ben Cline's strong fundraising and unopposed primary position him as the clear favorite in Virginia's 6th Congressional District, a reliably red seat with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index where he has won decisively since 2019. Trader consensus at 69.5% for Republican victory reflects the Virginia Supreme Court's May 2026 ruling striking down a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving the current GOP-friendly lines and prompting Democratic primary shakeups—including Hugh Murray's withdrawal and Tom Perriello's shift to VA-05—leaving a fragmented field led by Beth Macy ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Absent a national wave or surprise polling shift, structural advantages sustain the lopsided odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문