Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps's strong position drives trader consensus toward an 88.5% implied probability of a GOP hold in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, following his nine-point special election win in December 2025 despite Democratic overperformance. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized May 7 preserved the district's deep-red boundaries—historically a Trump +22 seat—bolstering Republican advantages amid the August 6 primaries. Former Democratic challenger Aftyn Behn's January announcement to skip a rematch, citing safety concerns, has left Democrats without a high-profile recruit, limiting flip potential barring a national midterm wave, Van Epps primary challenge, or unforeseen scandal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,564 거래량
89%
Democratic Party
$1,070 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps's strong position drives trader consensus toward an 88.5% implied probability of a GOP hold in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, following his nine-point special election win in December 2025 despite Democratic overperformance. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized May 7 preserved the district's deep-red boundaries—historically a Trump +22 seat—bolstering Republican advantages amid the August 6 primaries. Former Democratic challenger Aftyn Behn's January announcement to skip a rematch, citing safety concerns, has left Democrats without a high-profile recruit, limiting flip potential barring a national midterm wave, Van Epps primary challenge, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$3,633종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps's strong position drives trader consensus toward an 88.5% implied probability of a GOP hold in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, following his nine-point special election win in December 2025 despite Democratic overperformance. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized May 7 preserved the district's deep-red boundaries—historically a Trump +22 seat—bolstering Republican advantages amid the August 6 primaries. Former Democratic challenger Aftyn Behn's January announcement to skip a rematch, citing safety concerns, has left Democrats without a high-profile recruit, limiting flip potential barring a national midterm wave, Van Epps primary challenge, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,633종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps's strong position drives trader consensus toward an 88.5% implied probability of a GOP hold in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, following his nine-point special election win in December 2025 despite Democratic overperformance. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized May 7 preserved the district's deep-red boundaries—historically a Trump +22 seat—bolstering Republican advantages amid the August 6 primaries. Former Democratic challenger Aftyn Behn's January announcement to skip a rematch, citing safety concerns, has left Democrats without a high-profile recruit, limiting flip potential barring a national midterm wave, Van Epps primary challenge, or unforeseen scandal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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