Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains its strong Republican lean due to consistent voter patterns in the Mobile area and surrounding counties, reinforced by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 11 primary under the current map, while the Democratic nominee, Clyde W. Jones Jr., faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising visibility and historical margins favoring the Republican ticket. Trader consensus reflects these district fundamentals and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that would narrow the gap. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or major changes to the congressional boundaries following ongoing litigation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트AL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$39,993 거래량
$39,993 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$39,993 거래량
$39,993 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$18,928 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$21,065 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains its strong Republican lean due to consistent voter patterns in the Mobile area and surrounding counties, reinforced by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 11 primary under the current map, while the Democratic nominee, Clyde W. Jones Jr., faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising visibility and historical margins favoring the Republican ticket. Trader consensus reflects these district fundamentals and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that would narrow the gap. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or major changes to the congressional boundaries following ongoing litigation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
거래량
$39,993종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains its strong Republican lean due to consistent voter patterns in the Mobile area and surrounding counties, reinforced by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 11 primary under the current map, while the Democratic nominee, Clyde W. Jones Jr., faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising visibility and historical margins favoring the Republican ticket. Trader consensus reflects these district fundamentals and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that would narrow the gap. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or major changes to the congressional boundaries following ongoing litigation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$39,993종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains its strong Republican lean due to consistent voter patterns in the Mobile area and surrounding counties, reinforced by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 11 primary under the current map, while the Democratic nominee, Clyde W. Jones Jr., faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising visibility and historical margins favoring the Republican ticket. Trader consensus reflects these district fundamentals and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that would narrow the gap. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or major changes to the congressional boundaries following ongoing litigation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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