Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a safe Republican stronghold per Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, with trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP reflecting the district's heavy Republican lean—evident in past elections where the party captured over 65% of the vote—and minimal Democratic opposition from sole primary candidate Clyde Jones, who has raised under $40,000. Incumbent Barry Moore's departure for a Senate bid opened the seat, but a U.S. Supreme Court ruling last week lifted an injunction on the 2023 map, prompting Gov. Kay Ivey to void the May 19 primary and schedule special August 11 primaries under a more GOP-friendly configuration uniting Mobile-Baldwin with Escambia-Covington counties. Well-funded Republicans like former Rep. Jerry Carl lead the field. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, reversed court ruling, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,661 거래량
$35,661 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
4%
$35,661 거래량
$35,661 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$17,001 거래량
93%
민주당
$18,660 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a safe Republican stronghold per Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, with trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP reflecting the district's heavy Republican lean—evident in past elections where the party captured over 65% of the vote—and minimal Democratic opposition from sole primary candidate Clyde Jones, who has raised under $40,000. Incumbent Barry Moore's departure for a Senate bid opened the seat, but a U.S. Supreme Court ruling last week lifted an injunction on the 2023 map, prompting Gov. Kay Ivey to void the May 19 primary and schedule special August 11 primaries under a more GOP-friendly configuration uniting Mobile-Baldwin with Escambia-Covington counties. Well-funded Republicans like former Rep. Jerry Carl lead the field. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, reversed court ruling, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
거래량
$35,661종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a safe Republican stronghold per Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, with trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP reflecting the district's heavy Republican lean—evident in past elections where the party captured over 65% of the vote—and minimal Democratic opposition from sole primary candidate Clyde Jones, who has raised under $40,000. Incumbent Barry Moore's departure for a Senate bid opened the seat, but a U.S. Supreme Court ruling last week lifted an injunction on the 2023 map, prompting Gov. Kay Ivey to void the May 19 primary and schedule special August 11 primaries under a more GOP-friendly configuration uniting Mobile-Baldwin with Escambia-Covington counties. Well-funded Republicans like former Rep. Jerry Carl lead the field. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, reversed court ruling, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$35,661종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a safe Republican stronghold per Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, with trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP reflecting the district's heavy Republican lean—evident in past elections where the party captured over 65% of the vote—and minimal Democratic opposition from sole primary candidate Clyde Jones, who has raised under $40,000. Incumbent Barry Moore's departure for a Senate bid opened the seat, but a U.S. Supreme Court ruling last week lifted an injunction on the 2023 map, prompting Gov. Kay Ivey to void the May 19 primary and schedule special August 11 primaries under a more GOP-friendly configuration uniting Mobile-Baldwin with Escambia-Covington counties. Well-funded Republicans like former Rep. Jerry Carl lead the field. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, reversed court ruling, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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