Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Seth Magaziner's 58 percent share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly ahead of the September 2026 primaries. Magaziner's substantial cash reserves and the absence of national party investment in the race reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic path for Republicans would require either an unusually strong nominee, a broad national tide, or an unforeseen development involving the incumbent between now and November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,705 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$1,114 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Seth Magaziner's 58 percent share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly ahead of the September 2026 primaries. Magaziner's substantial cash reserves and the absence of national party investment in the race reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic path for Republicans would require either an unusually strong nominee, a broad national tide, or an unforeseen development involving the incumbent between now and November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$3,820종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Seth Magaziner's 58 percent share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly ahead of the September 2026 primaries. Magaziner's substantial cash reserves and the absence of national party investment in the race reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic path for Republicans would require either an unusually strong nominee, a broad national tide, or an unforeseen development involving the incumbent between now and November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,820종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Seth Magaziner's 58 percent share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from primary contenders Victor Mellor and Stephen Skoly ahead of the September 2026 primaries. Magaziner's substantial cash reserves and the absence of national party investment in the race reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic path for Republicans would require either an unusually strong nominee, a broad national tide, or an unforeseen development involving the incumbent between now and November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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