The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with no single contender exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities on Polymarket. Multiple declared and exploratory candidacies across parties, including pre-candidates from Republicanos, PL, PSD, and others, have produced a crowded field that disperses support and sustains tight pricing among the leaders. Recent polling and party positioning show early consolidation efforts around established names, yet low name recognition for many entrants and the absence of formal alliances keep individual odds compressed. Scheduled party conventions and potential coalition announcements through mid-2026 represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities by clarifying viable paths to a runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트치코 마차두 22%
니콜라 미치오네 18%
에두아르두 파주엘루 17%
프레드 파체코 15.3%
신규
신규
2026.10.05
치코 마차두
22%
니콜라 미치오네
18%
에두아르두 파주엘루
17%
프레드 파체코
15%
필리페 쿠리
11%
안드레 포르투게스
10%
안토니 가로티뉴
7%
타르시지우 모타
5%
린드베르그 파리아스
5%
안드레 세실리아누
5%
윌슨 위첼
4%
Dr. Luizinho
2%
치코 마차두 22%
니콜라 미치오네 18%
에두아르두 파주엘루 17%
프레드 파체코 15.3%
신규
신규
2026.10.05
치코 마차두
$243 거래량
22%
니콜라 미치오네
$165 거래량
18%
에두아르두 파주엘루
$56 거래량
17%
프레드 파체코
$217 거래량
15%
필리페 쿠리
$1,520 거래량
11%
안드레 포르투게스
$192 거래량
10%
안토니 가로티뉴
$1,100 거래량
7%
타르시지우 모타
$192 거래량
5%
린드베르그 파리아스
$142 거래량
5%
안드레 세실리아누
$2,618 거래량
5%
윌슨 위첼
$242 거래량
4%
Dr. Luizinho
$2,022 거래량
2%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with no single contender exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities on Polymarket. Multiple declared and exploratory candidacies across parties, including pre-candidates from Republicanos, PL, PSD, and others, have produced a crowded field that disperses support and sustains tight pricing among the leaders. Recent polling and party positioning show early consolidation efforts around established names, yet low name recognition for many entrants and the absence of formal alliances keep individual odds compressed. Scheduled party conventions and potential coalition announcements through mid-2026 represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities by clarifying viable paths to a runoff.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
거래량
$8,707종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with no single contender exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities on Polymarket. Multiple declared and exploratory candidacies across parties, including pre-candidates from Republicanos, PL, PSD, and others, have produced a crowded field that disperses support and sustains tight pricing among the leaders. Recent polling and party positioning show early consolidation efforts around established names, yet low name recognition for many entrants and the absence of formal alliances keep individual odds compressed. Scheduled party conventions and potential coalition announcements through mid-2026 represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities by clarifying viable paths to a runoff.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$8,707종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with no single contender exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities on Polymarket. Multiple declared and exploratory candidacies across parties, including pre-candidates from Republicanos, PL, PSD, and others, have produced a crowded field that disperses support and sustains tight pricing among the leaders. Recent polling and party positioning show early consolidation efforts around established names, yet low name recognition for many entrants and the absence of formal alliances keep individual odds compressed. Scheduled party conventions and potential coalition announcements through mid-2026 represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities by clarifying viable paths to a runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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