Incumbent São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas commands 82.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Quaest survey on April 29 showing him at 38% in first-round scenarios against Fernando Haddad's 26%, with victories in all second-round matchups. High approval ratings—64.9% per Paraná Pesquisas on April 16—bolster his position among key voting blocs, reflecting strong infrastructure delivery and economic management amid national political fragmentation. Haddad trails at 11.6% as the primary PT challenger, while Kim Kataguiri, Márcio França, and Erika Hilton register low single digits due to fragmented opposition. Upcoming primaries and campaign momentum could shift dynamics in this closely watched state race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Tarcísio de Freitas 83%
Fernando Haddad 11.8%
김 카타구리 3.8%
Márcio França 1.4%
$21,533 거래량
$21,533 거래량
2026.10.04
Tarcísio de Freitas
83%
Fernando Haddad
12%
김 카타구리
4%
Márcio França
1%
Erika Hilton
1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 83%
Fernando Haddad 11.8%
김 카타구리 3.8%
Márcio França 1.4%
$21,533 거래량
$21,533 거래량
2026.10.04
Tarcísio de Freitas
$10,880 거래량
83%
Fernando Haddad
$3,541 거래량
12%
김 카타구리
$1,730 거래량
4%
Márcio França
$2,343 거래량
1%
Erika Hilton
$3,038 거래량
1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas commands 82.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Quaest survey on April 29 showing him at 38% in first-round scenarios against Fernando Haddad's 26%, with victories in all second-round matchups. High approval ratings—64.9% per Paraná Pesquisas on April 16—bolster his position among key voting blocs, reflecting strong infrastructure delivery and economic management amid national political fragmentation. Haddad trails at 11.6% as the primary PT challenger, while Kim Kataguiri, Márcio França, and Erika Hilton register low single digits due to fragmented opposition. Upcoming primaries and campaign momentum could shift dynamics in this closely watched state race.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
거래량
$21,533종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas commands 82.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Quaest survey on April 29 showing him at 38% in first-round scenarios against Fernando Haddad's 26%, with victories in all second-round matchups. High approval ratings—64.9% per Paraná Pesquisas on April 16—bolster his position among key voting blocs, reflecting strong infrastructure delivery and economic management amid national political fragmentation. Haddad trails at 11.6% as the primary PT challenger, while Kim Kataguiri, Márcio França, and Erika Hilton register low single digits due to fragmented opposition. Upcoming primaries and campaign momentum could shift dynamics in this closely watched state race.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$21,533종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas commands 82.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Quaest survey on April 29 showing him at 38% in first-round scenarios against Fernando Haddad's 26%, with victories in all second-round matchups. High approval ratings—64.9% per Paraná Pesquisas on April 16—bolster his position among key voting blocs, reflecting strong infrastructure delivery and economic management amid national political fragmentation. Haddad trails at 11.6% as the primary PT challenger, while Kim Kataguiri, Márcio França, and Erika Hilton register low single digits due to fragmented opposition. Upcoming primaries and campaign momentum could shift dynamics in this closely watched state race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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