Recent Genial/Quaest (April 22-26) and DOXA (May 1-5) polls position Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) as the frontrunner in Minas Gerais gubernatorial race first-round scenarios, leading at 28-37% against ex-BH mayor Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 14-24% and Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB) at 6-12%, with commanding second-round edges like 48% over Kalil's 26%. His low 20% rejection rate, high vote definition, and consistent dominance across matchups drive trader consensus implying 53.5% win probability. Pacheco's 18.5% reflects institutional stature despite softer recent polling, amid high undecideds (13-19%) and blanks (16-32%) ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Cleitinho Azevedo 54%
Rodrigo Pacheco 19%
Alexandre Kalil 7.8%
Tadeu Leite 5.0%
$17,682 거래량
$17,682 거래량
2026.10.04
Cleitinho Azevedo
54%
Rodrigo Pacheco
19%
Alexandre Kalil
8%
Tadeu Leite
5%
Gabriel Azevedo
5%
Alexandre Silveira
4%
Aécio Neves
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
3%
베노니 멘데스
3%
Mateus Simões
2%
Cleitinho Azevedo 54%
Rodrigo Pacheco 19%
Alexandre Kalil 7.8%
Tadeu Leite 5.0%
$17,682 거래량
$17,682 거래량
2026.10.04
Cleitinho Azevedo
$5,978 거래량
54%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$2,993 거래량
19%
Alexandre Kalil
$744 거래량
8%
Tadeu Leite
$1,544 거래량
5%
Gabriel Azevedo
$1,424 거래량
5%
Alexandre Silveira
$595 거래량
4%
Aécio Neves
$632 거래량
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
$2,174 거래량
3%
베노니 멘데스
$972 거래량
3%
Mateus Simões
$626 거래량
2%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Genial/Quaest (April 22-26) and DOXA (May 1-5) polls position Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) as the frontrunner in Minas Gerais gubernatorial race first-round scenarios, leading at 28-37% against ex-BH mayor Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 14-24% and Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB) at 6-12%, with commanding second-round edges like 48% over Kalil's 26%. His low 20% rejection rate, high vote definition, and consistent dominance across matchups drive trader consensus implying 53.5% win probability. Pacheco's 18.5% reflects institutional stature despite softer recent polling, amid high undecideds (13-19%) and blanks (16-32%) ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
거래량
$17,682종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Genial/Quaest (April 22-26) and DOXA (May 1-5) polls position Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) as the frontrunner in Minas Gerais gubernatorial race first-round scenarios, leading at 28-37% against ex-BH mayor Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 14-24% and Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB) at 6-12%, with commanding second-round edges like 48% over Kalil's 26%. His low 20% rejection rate, high vote definition, and consistent dominance across matchups drive trader consensus implying 53.5% win probability. Pacheco's 18.5% reflects institutional stature despite softer recent polling, amid high undecideds (13-19%) and blanks (16-32%) ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$17,682종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Genial/Quaest (April 22-26) and DOXA (May 1-5) polls position Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) as the frontrunner in Minas Gerais gubernatorial race first-round scenarios, leading at 28-37% against ex-BH mayor Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 14-24% and Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB) at 6-12%, with commanding second-round edges like 48% over Kalil's 26%. His low 20% rejection rate, high vote definition, and consistent dominance across matchups drive trader consensus implying 53.5% win probability. Pacheco's 18.5% reflects institutional stature despite softer recent polling, amid high undecideds (13-19%) and blanks (16-32%) ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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