The Workers' Party's April 2026 national congress produced a manifesto explicitly centering President Lula's re-election bid for the October 2026 vote, with party president Edinho Silva committing to prioritize his candidacy and build alliances against right-wing opponents. Lula reinforced this direction by confirming Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate in late March and urging party leaders to finalize an electoral strategy. These steps align with standard Brazilian party procedures ahead of the Superior Electoral Court candidate registration window near August 1, making formal nomination by the August 15 deadline a largely procedural step under current conditions. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Yes incorporates polling leads over potential rivals and the absence of major internal opposition or health setbacks in recent weeks, while leaving room for late shifts from unforeseen developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$11,224 거래량
$11,224 거래량
2026.08.15
예
$11,224 거래량
$11,224 거래량
2026.08.15
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Workers' Party's April 2026 national congress produced a manifesto explicitly centering President Lula's re-election bid for the October 2026 vote, with party president Edinho Silva committing to prioritize his candidacy and build alliances against right-wing opponents. Lula reinforced this direction by confirming Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate in late March and urging party leaders to finalize an electoral strategy. These steps align with standard Brazilian party procedures ahead of the Superior Electoral Court candidate registration window near August 1, making formal nomination by the August 15 deadline a largely procedural step under current conditions. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Yes incorporates polling leads over potential rivals and the absence of major internal opposition or health setbacks in recent weeks, while leaving room for late shifts from unforeseen developments.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
거래량
$11,224종료일
2026.08.15마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Workers' Party's April 2026 national congress produced a manifesto explicitly centering President Lula's re-election bid for the October 2026 vote, with party president Edinho Silva committing to prioritize his candidacy and build alliances against right-wing opponents. Lula reinforced this direction by confirming Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate in late March and urging party leaders to finalize an electoral strategy. These steps align with standard Brazilian party procedures ahead of the Superior Electoral Court candidate registration window near August 1, making formal nomination by the August 15 deadline a largely procedural step under current conditions. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Yes incorporates polling leads over potential rivals and the absence of major internal opposition or health setbacks in recent weeks, while leaving room for late shifts from unforeseen developments.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$11,224종료일
2026.08.15마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Workers' Party's April 2026 national congress produced a manifesto explicitly centering President Lula's re-election bid for the October 2026 vote, with party president Edinho Silva committing to prioritize his candidacy and build alliances against right-wing opponents. Lula reinforced this direction by confirming Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate in late March and urging party leaders to finalize an electoral strategy. These steps align with standard Brazilian party procedures ahead of the Superior Electoral Court candidate registration window near August 1, making formal nomination by the August 15 deadline a largely procedural step under current conditions. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Yes incorporates polling leads over potential rivals and the absence of major internal opposition or health setbacks in recent weeks, while leaving room for late shifts from unforeseen developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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