Recent polls underscore the razor-thin contest for Bahia's governorship, with Paraná Pesquisas on May 13 showing challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 47.8% against incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 38.7% in voter intentions, yet earlier Quaest surveys from late April revealed statistical ties around 41-37% in first-round scenarios. Jerônimo's 56% approval rating and the PT's entrenched machine in this longtime stronghold sustain trader consensus favoring his slight reelection edge, while Neto's broad alliances—including PL and Novo—bolster opposition momentum among undecideds. Separation could arise from June-July party conventions solidifying coalitions, fresh polling shifts, or national tides influencing the October 4 first round or potential runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$13,682 거래량
$13,682 거래량
2026.10.04
Jerônimo Rodrigues
52%
ACM Neto
48%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$13,682 거래량
$13,682 거래량
2026.10.04
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$3,666 거래량
52%
ACM Neto
$3,648 거래량
48%
Kleber Rosa
$1,281 거래량
<1%
João Roma
$966 거래량
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$1,060 거래량
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$1,938 거래량
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,124 거래량
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls underscore the razor-thin contest for Bahia's governorship, with Paraná Pesquisas on May 13 showing challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 47.8% against incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 38.7% in voter intentions, yet earlier Quaest surveys from late April revealed statistical ties around 41-37% in first-round scenarios. Jerônimo's 56% approval rating and the PT's entrenched machine in this longtime stronghold sustain trader consensus favoring his slight reelection edge, while Neto's broad alliances—including PL and Novo—bolster opposition momentum among undecideds. Separation could arise from June-July party conventions solidifying coalitions, fresh polling shifts, or national tides influencing the October 4 first round or potential runoff.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
거래량
$13,682종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls underscore the razor-thin contest for Bahia's governorship, with Paraná Pesquisas on May 13 showing challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 47.8% against incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 38.7% in voter intentions, yet earlier Quaest surveys from late April revealed statistical ties around 41-37% in first-round scenarios. Jerônimo's 56% approval rating and the PT's entrenched machine in this longtime stronghold sustain trader consensus favoring his slight reelection edge, while Neto's broad alliances—including PL and Novo—bolster opposition momentum among undecideds. Separation could arise from June-July party conventions solidifying coalitions, fresh polling shifts, or national tides influencing the October 4 first round or potential runoff.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$13,682종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls underscore the razor-thin contest for Bahia's governorship, with Paraná Pesquisas on May 13 showing challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 47.8% against incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 38.7% in voter intentions, yet earlier Quaest surveys from late April revealed statistical ties around 41-37% in first-round scenarios. Jerônimo's 56% approval rating and the PT's entrenched machine in this longtime stronghold sustain trader consensus favoring his slight reelection edge, while Neto's broad alliances—including PL and Novo—bolster opposition momentum among undecideds. Separation could arise from June-July party conventions solidifying coalitions, fresh polling shifts, or national tides influencing the October 4 first round or potential runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문