PL’s commanding lead in the Brazil Chamber of Deputies race reflects its status as the largest current caucus after recent party switches boosted its bloc to roughly 100 seats, combined with alignment to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid under the Liberal Party banner. The proportional open-list system rewards parties with established national infrastructure and strong regional organization, advantages PL has consolidated since 2022. Traders price this structural edge at 75.5 percent, viewing the October 4, 2026, vote as a contest where presidential coattails and incumbent caucus size could prove decisive. Centrist blocs such as UPB and FE Brasil trail, reflecting more fragmented support and fewer recent gains in congressional realignments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PL 76%
UPB 10%
FE Brasil 6.6%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS) 1.9%
신규
신규
2026.10.04
PL
76%
UPB
10%
FE Brasil
7%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS)
2%
MDB
2%
PSB
1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSD
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
PL 76%
UPB 10%
FE Brasil 6.6%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS) 1.9%
신규
신규
2026.10.04
PL
$2,917 거래량
76%
UPB
$563 거래량
10%
FE Brasil
$444 거래량
7%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS)
$343 거래량
2%
MDB
$239 거래량
2%
PSB
$266 거래량
1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$185 거래량
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$195 거래량
<1%
PSD
$175 거래량
<1%
MISSÃO
$237 거래량
<1%
PDT
$166 거래량
<1%
Avante
$200 거래량
<1%
NOVO
$165 거래량
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$200 거래량
<1%
PODE
$170 거래량
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL’s commanding lead in the Brazil Chamber of Deputies race reflects its status as the largest current caucus after recent party switches boosted its bloc to roughly 100 seats, combined with alignment to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid under the Liberal Party banner. The proportional open-list system rewards parties with established national infrastructure and strong regional organization, advantages PL has consolidated since 2022. Traders price this structural edge at 75.5 percent, viewing the October 4, 2026, vote as a contest where presidential coattails and incumbent caucus size could prove decisive. Centrist blocs such as UPB and FE Brasil trail, reflecting more fragmented support and fewer recent gains in congressional realignments.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
거래량
$6,460종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL’s commanding lead in the Brazil Chamber of Deputies race reflects its status as the largest current caucus after recent party switches boosted its bloc to roughly 100 seats, combined with alignment to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid under the Liberal Party banner. The proportional open-list system rewards parties with established national infrastructure and strong regional organization, advantages PL has consolidated since 2022. Traders price this structural edge at 75.5 percent, viewing the October 4, 2026, vote as a contest where presidential coattails and incumbent caucus size could prove decisive. Centrist blocs such as UPB and FE Brasil trail, reflecting more fragmented support and fewer recent gains in congressional realignments.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
거래량
$6,460종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL’s commanding lead in the Brazil Chamber of Deputies race reflects its status as the largest current caucus after recent party switches boosted its bloc to roughly 100 seats, combined with alignment to Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid under the Liberal Party banner. The proportional open-list system rewards parties with established national infrastructure and strong regional organization, advantages PL has consolidated since 2022. Traders price this structural edge at 75.5 percent, viewing the October 4, 2026, vote as a contest where presidential coattails and incumbent caucus size could prove decisive. Centrist blocs such as UPB and FE Brasil trail, reflecting more fragmented support and fewer recent gains in congressional realignments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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