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선거·브라질

마라냥 주지사 선거 승리자

icon for 마라냥 주지사 선거 승리자
선거·브라질

마라냥 주지사 선거 승리자

에두아르두 브라이디 43%

오를레앙스 브란당 37%

라헤시우 본피미 11%

펠리페 카마랑 8%

Polymarket
신규

에두아르두 브라이디 43%

오를레앙스 브란당 37%

라헤시우 본피미 11%

펠리페 카마랑 8%

Polymarket
신규

에두아르두 브라이디

$544 거래량

43%

오를레앙스 브란당

$69 거래량

37%

라헤시우 본피미

$68 거래량

11%

펠리페 카마랑

$64 거래량

8%

안드레 루이스

$169 거래량

4%

에닐통 호드리게스

$275 거래량

4%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) holding a clear first-round lead in several surveys, including AtlasIntel figures near 50%, while Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails in the low 20s and Felipe Camarão (PT) sits further back. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to pursue the state executive has clarified his path, yet Econométrica data from the same month indicated a technical tie between Braide and Brandão in one scenario. The market’s compressed pricing around 42% for Braide and lower shares for rivals reflects uncertainty over coalition formation, left-wing fragmentation, and the October 2026 first-round threshold. Upcoming candidate alignments and any new surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$1,189
종료일
2026.10.05
마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) holding a clear first-round lead in several surveys, including AtlasIntel figures near 50%, while Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails in the low 20s and Felipe Camarão (PT) sits further back. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to pursue the state executive has clarified his path, yet Econométrica data from the same month indicated a technical tie between Braide and Brandão in one scenario. The market’s compressed pricing around 42% for Braide and lower shares for rivals reflects uncertainty over coalition formation, left-wing fragmentation, and the October 2026 first-round threshold. Upcoming candidate alignments and any new surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$1,189
종료일
2026.10.05
마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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자주 묻는 질문

"마라냥 주지사 선거 승리자"은 6개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 43%의 "에두아르두 브라이디"이며, 이어서 37%의 "오를레앙스 브란당"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 43¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 43%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"마라냥 주지사 선거 승리자"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 12, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"마라냥 주지사 선거 승리자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 6개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"마라냥 주지사 선거 승리자"의 현재 유력 후보는 43%의 "에두아르두 브라이디"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 43%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 37%의 "오를레앙스 브란당"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"마라냥 주지사 선거 승리자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.