Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Renan Santos at 37% and Romeu Zema at 34% to finish third in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round vote, reflecting a fragmented right-wing field beyond frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, who lead recent May polls from Quaest (39%-33%), Futura (38%-37%), and Ideia (40%-36%). Ronaldo Caiado holds steady third in surveys at 5-6%, but Santos's 5.3% peak in late-April AtlasIntel data and Zema's consistent 3-4% underscore volatility among undecided voters (9-16% "others") and shifting conservative support. The tight market stems from outsider momentum for Santos's Mission party anti-corruption platform and Zema's Minas Gerais gubernatorial record; upcoming debates, endorsements, or poll surges could widen the gap before the runoff trigger.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트로메우 제마 36%
레난 산투스 34%
호날두 카이아두 14%
페르난두 아다지 4.0%
$276,037 거래량
$276,037 거래량
2026.10.04
로메우 제마
36%
레난 산투스
34%
호날두 카이아두
14%
페르난두 아다지
4%
플라비우 보우소나루
4%
헤랄도 알크민
1%
카밀루 산타나
1%
에두아르두 레이트
1%
자이르 보우소나루
<1%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
<1%
알도 헤벨루
<1%
타르시지우 드 프레이타스
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%
미셸 보우소나루
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
<1%
로메우 제마 36%
레난 산투스 34%
호날두 카이아두 14%
페르난두 아다지 4.0%
$276,037 거래량
$276,037 거래량
2026.10.04
로메우 제마
$9,548 거래량
36%
레난 산투스
$61,757 거래량
34%
호날두 카이아두
$16,645 거래량
14%
페르난두 아다지
$14,354 거래량
4%
플라비우 보우소나루
$6,741 거래량
4%
헤랄도 알크민
$4,248 거래량
1%
카밀루 산타나
$5,949 거래량
1%
에두아르두 레이트
$2,559 거래량
1%
자이르 보우소나루
$4,092 거래량
<1%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
$5,152 거래량
<1%
알도 헤벨루
$4,536 거래량
<1%
타르시지우 드 프레이타스
$4,328 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
$39,622 거래량
<1%
미셸 보우소나루
$3,371 거래량
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
$93,135 거래량
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Renan Santos at 37% and Romeu Zema at 34% to finish third in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round vote, reflecting a fragmented right-wing field beyond frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, who lead recent May polls from Quaest (39%-33%), Futura (38%-37%), and Ideia (40%-36%). Ronaldo Caiado holds steady third in surveys at 5-6%, but Santos's 5.3% peak in late-April AtlasIntel data and Zema's consistent 3-4% underscore volatility among undecided voters (9-16% "others") and shifting conservative support. The tight market stems from outsider momentum for Santos's Mission party anti-corruption platform and Zema's Minas Gerais gubernatorial record; upcoming debates, endorsements, or poll surges could widen the gap before the runoff trigger.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
거래량
$276,037종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Renan Santos at 37% and Romeu Zema at 34% to finish third in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round vote, reflecting a fragmented right-wing field beyond frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, who lead recent May polls from Quaest (39%-33%), Futura (38%-37%), and Ideia (40%-36%). Ronaldo Caiado holds steady third in surveys at 5-6%, but Santos's 5.3% peak in late-April AtlasIntel data and Zema's consistent 3-4% underscore volatility among undecided voters (9-16% "others") and shifting conservative support. The tight market stems from outsider momentum for Santos's Mission party anti-corruption platform and Zema's Minas Gerais gubernatorial record; upcoming debates, endorsements, or poll surges could widen the gap before the runoff trigger.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
거래량
$276,037종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Renan Santos at 37% and Romeu Zema at 34% to finish third in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round vote, reflecting a fragmented right-wing field beyond frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, who lead recent May polls from Quaest (39%-33%), Futura (38%-37%), and Ideia (40%-36%). Ronaldo Caiado holds steady third in surveys at 5-6%, but Santos's 5.3% peak in late-April AtlasIntel data and Zema's consistent 3-4% underscore volatility among undecided voters (9-16% "others") and shifting conservative support. The tight market stems from outsider momentum for Santos's Mission party anti-corruption platform and Zema's Minas Gerais gubernatorial record; upcoming debates, endorsements, or poll surges could widen the gap before the runoff trigger.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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