In the Pará gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a closely contested first-round matchup between vice governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and mayor Dr. Daniel Santos, with both hovering near 40% implied probability amid high undecided shares. Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show the pair statistically tied, driven by Ghassan's association with the outgoing MDB administration of Helder Barbalho—who is shifting to a Senate bid—and Santos's profile as a local executive in Ananindeua. Fragmented opposition fields, including lower-polling names like Éder Mauro, have yet to consolidate, while early-campaign dynamics and regional voting patterns keep separation limited. Scheduled party conventions and alliance negotiations through August could shift momentum ahead of the October vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트하나 가산 41%
Dr. Daniel Santos 40%
에데르 마우루 9%
디르세우 텐 카텐 7.9%
신규
신규
2026.10.05
하나 가산
41%
Dr. Daniel Santos
40%
에데르 마우루
9%
디르세우 텐 카텐
8%
파울루 호샤
4%
호헤리우 바라
1%
제키냐 마리뉴
1%
하나 가산 41%
Dr. Daniel Santos 40%
에데르 마우루 9%
디르세우 텐 카텐 7.9%
신규
신규
2026.10.05
하나 가산
$247 거래량
41%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$376 거래량
40%
에데르 마우루
$296 거래량
9%
디르세우 텐 카텐
$297 거래량
8%
파울루 호샤
$312 거래량
4%
호헤리우 바라
$292 거래량
1%
제키냐 마리뉴
$282 거래량
1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pará gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a closely contested first-round matchup between vice governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and mayor Dr. Daniel Santos, with both hovering near 40% implied probability amid high undecided shares. Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show the pair statistically tied, driven by Ghassan's association with the outgoing MDB administration of Helder Barbalho—who is shifting to a Senate bid—and Santos's profile as a local executive in Ananindeua. Fragmented opposition fields, including lower-polling names like Éder Mauro, have yet to consolidate, while early-campaign dynamics and regional voting patterns keep separation limited. Scheduled party conventions and alliance negotiations through August could shift momentum ahead of the October vote.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
거래량
$2,101종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pará gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a closely contested first-round matchup between vice governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and mayor Dr. Daniel Santos, with both hovering near 40% implied probability amid high undecided shares. Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show the pair statistically tied, driven by Ghassan's association with the outgoing MDB administration of Helder Barbalho—who is shifting to a Senate bid—and Santos's profile as a local executive in Ananindeua. Fragmented opposition fields, including lower-polling names like Éder Mauro, have yet to consolidate, while early-campaign dynamics and regional voting patterns keep separation limited. Scheduled party conventions and alliance negotiations through August could shift momentum ahead of the October vote.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$2,101종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Pará gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a closely contested first-round matchup between vice governor Hana Ghassan (MDB) and mayor Dr. Daniel Santos, with both hovering near 40% implied probability amid high undecided shares. Recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys show the pair statistically tied, driven by Ghassan's association with the outgoing MDB administration of Helder Barbalho—who is shifting to a Senate bid—and Santos's profile as a local executive in Ananindeua. Fragmented opposition fields, including lower-polling names like Éder Mauro, have yet to consolidate, while early-campaign dynamics and regional voting patterns keep separation limited. Scheduled party conventions and alliance negotiations through August could shift momentum ahead of the October vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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