Abelardo de la Espriella's narrow first-round lead of 43.7% to Iván Cepeda Castro's 40.9% on May 31 has shaped trader views on the June 21 runoff margin, with the right-wing outsider outperforming pre-election polls that had the left-wing senator ahead or nearly tied. High voter concentration between the two finalists and record turnout concentrated support along ideological lines, leaving limited room for centrist consolidation. Recent polling for the runoff remains divided, with some surveys showing Cepeda competitive or favored while others reflect de la Espriella's momentum from the initial ballot. This uncertainty keeps the tightest victory ranges and a Cepeda win as active possibilities alongside broader outcomes in the closely contested race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트데 라 에스프리엘라 10-15% 31%
데 라 에스프리에야 5-10% 29%
데 라 에스프리엘라 0-5% 19%
de la Espriella 15%+ 12.8%
$84,017 거래량
$84,017 거래량
2026.06.22
de la Espriella 15%+
13%
데 라 에스프리엘라 10-15%
31%
데 라 에스프리에야 5-10%
29%
데 라 에스프리엘라 0-5%
19%
세페다 카스트로 승리
12%
데 라 에스프리엘라 10-15% 31%
데 라 에스프리에야 5-10% 29%
데 라 에스프리엘라 0-5% 19%
de la Espriella 15%+ 12.8%
$84,017 거래량
$84,017 거래량
2026.06.22
de la Espriella 15%+
$20,394 거래량
13%
데 라 에스프리엘라 10-15%
$20,209 거래량
31%
데 라 에스프리에야 5-10%
$14,803 거래량
29%
데 라 에스프리엘라 0-5%
$18,690 거래량
19%
세페다 카스트로 승리
$10,061 거래량
12%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Abelardo de la Espriella's narrow first-round lead of 43.7% to Iván Cepeda Castro's 40.9% on May 31 has shaped trader views on the June 21 runoff margin, with the right-wing outsider outperforming pre-election polls that had the left-wing senator ahead or nearly tied. High voter concentration between the two finalists and record turnout concentrated support along ideological lines, leaving limited room for centrist consolidation. Recent polling for the runoff remains divided, with some surveys showing Cepeda competitive or favored while others reflect de la Espriella's momentum from the initial ballot. This uncertainty keeps the tightest victory ranges and a Cepeda win as active possibilities alongside broader outcomes in the closely contested race.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
거래량
$84,017종료일
2026.06.22마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Abelardo de la Espriella's narrow first-round lead of 43.7% to Iván Cepeda Castro's 40.9% on May 31 has shaped trader views on the June 21 runoff margin, with the right-wing outsider outperforming pre-election polls that had the left-wing senator ahead or nearly tied. High voter concentration between the two finalists and record turnout concentrated support along ideological lines, leaving limited room for centrist consolidation. Recent polling for the runoff remains divided, with some surveys showing Cepeda competitive or favored while others reflect de la Espriella's momentum from the initial ballot. This uncertainty keeps the tightest victory ranges and a Cepeda win as active possibilities alongside broader outcomes in the closely contested race.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
거래량
$84,017종료일
2026.06.22마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella's narrow first-round lead of 43.7% to Iván Cepeda Castro's 40.9% on May 31 has shaped trader views on the June 21 runoff margin, with the right-wing outsider outperforming pre-election polls that had the left-wing senator ahead or nearly tied. High voter concentration between the two finalists and record turnout concentrated support along ideological lines, leaving limited room for centrist consolidation. Recent polling for the runoff remains divided, with some surveys showing Cepeda competitive or favored while others reflect de la Espriella's momentum from the initial ballot. This uncertainty keeps the tightest victory ranges and a Cepeda win as active possibilities alongside broader outcomes in the closely contested race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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