The razor-thin contest in Peru’s June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, with over 98 percent of ballots counted and margins under 20,000 votes, has produced overwhelming trader consensus on a Fujimori victory by 0–4 percent. Fujimori’s strength in Lima and coastal urban centers, combined with overseas ballots favoring her, has offset Sánchez’s rural and Andean advantages as counting proceeds slowly under ONPE oversight. Persistent concerns over crime and institutional instability, alongside the fragmented first-round field that propelled both candidates forward, reinforce expectations of a narrow final gap. A decisive shift could still occur through the roughly 400,000 contested ballots or protracted legal reviews expected to extend into July, though current tallies and historical patterns favor resolution within the small-margin band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Fujimori 0–4% 98.3%
Sánchez 0–4% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
Fujimori 8–12% <1%
$1,048,827 거래량
$1,048,827 거래량
2026.06.07
Fujimori 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
98%
Sánchez 0–4%
1%
Sánchez 4–8%
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 0–4% 98.3%
Sánchez 0–4% <1%
Fujimori 12%+ <1%
Fujimori 8–12% <1%
$1,048,827 거래량
$1,048,827 거래량
2026.06.07
Fujimori 12%+
$70,174 거래량
<1%
Fujimori 8–12%
$60,207 거래량
<1%
Fujimori 4–8%
$153,459 거래량
<1%
Fujimori 0–4%
$297,491 거래량
98%
Sánchez 0–4%
$313,159 거래량
1%
Sánchez 4–8%
$84,864 거래량
<1%
Sánchez 8–12%
$38,513 거래량
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
$30,961 거래량
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin contest in Peru’s June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, with over 98 percent of ballots counted and margins under 20,000 votes, has produced overwhelming trader consensus on a Fujimori victory by 0–4 percent. Fujimori’s strength in Lima and coastal urban centers, combined with overseas ballots favoring her, has offset Sánchez’s rural and Andean advantages as counting proceeds slowly under ONPE oversight. Persistent concerns over crime and institutional instability, alongside the fragmented first-round field that propelled both candidates forward, reinforce expectations of a narrow final gap. A decisive shift could still occur through the roughly 400,000 contested ballots or protracted legal reviews expected to extend into July, though current tallies and historical patterns favor resolution within the small-margin band.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
거래량
$1,048,827종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin contest in Peru’s June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, with over 98 percent of ballots counted and margins under 20,000 votes, has produced overwhelming trader consensus on a Fujimori victory by 0–4 percent. Fujimori’s strength in Lima and coastal urban centers, combined with overseas ballots favoring her, has offset Sánchez’s rural and Andean advantages as counting proceeds slowly under ONPE oversight. Persistent concerns over crime and institutional instability, alongside the fragmented first-round field that propelled both candidates forward, reinforce expectations of a narrow final gap. A decisive shift could still occur through the roughly 400,000 contested ballots or protracted legal reviews expected to extend into July, though current tallies and historical patterns favor resolution within the small-margin band.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
거래량
$1,048,827종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The razor-thin contest in Peru’s June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, with over 98 percent of ballots counted and margins under 20,000 votes, has produced overwhelming trader consensus on a Fujimori victory by 0–4 percent. Fujimori’s strength in Lima and coastal urban centers, combined with overseas ballots favoring her, has offset Sánchez’s rural and Andean advantages as counting proceeds slowly under ONPE oversight. Persistent concerns over crime and institutional instability, alongside the fragmented first-round field that propelled both candidates forward, reinforce expectations of a narrow final gap. A decisive shift could still occur through the roughly 400,000 contested ballots or protracted legal reviews expected to extend into July, though current tallies and historical patterns favor resolution within the small-margin band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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