Lindsey Graham's commanding position in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary stems from his status as a four-term incumbent with strong institutional backing, including early endorsements from President Trump and key state figures such as Senator Tim Scott and Governor Henry McMaster. Recent polling averages showed Graham at 46-52% support against a field of lesser-known challengers, with Mark Lynch as the main opponent drawing 21-36%. Graham's substantial fundraising advantage and established conservative record helped consolidate Republican primary voters, limiting any late surge by opponents. The primary occurred on June 9, 2026, with no runoff required. While a major scandal or sudden shift in voter sentiment could have narrowed the margin, the consistent polling lead and party unity made significant deviation unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트사우스캐롤라이나 상원 공화당 예비후보: 1라운드 승리 여백
사우스캐롤라이나 상원 공화당 예비후보: 1라운드 승리 여백
그레이엄 20~30% 94%
그레이엄 10~20% 5%
그레이엄 40–50% 3.5%
그레이엄 30~40% 3.0%
$7,277 거래량
$7,277 거래량
2026.06.09
그래햄 50%+
<1%
그레이엄 40–50%
4%
그레이엄 30~40%
3%
그레이엄 20~30%
94%
그레이엄 10~20%
5%
그레이엄 <10%
1%
린치 승리
1%
그레이엄 20~30% 94%
그레이엄 10~20% 5%
그레이엄 40–50% 3.5%
그레이엄 30~40% 3.0%
$7,277 거래량
$7,277 거래량
2026.06.09
그래햄 50%+
$1,361 거래량
<1%
그레이엄 40–50%
$1,581 거래량
4%
그레이엄 30~40%
$276 거래량
3%
그레이엄 20~30%
$865 거래량
94%
그레이엄 10~20%
$1,002 거래량
5%
그레이엄 <10%
$1,779 거래량
1%
린치 승리
$622 거래량
1%
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lindsey Graham's commanding position in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary stems from his status as a four-term incumbent with strong institutional backing, including early endorsements from President Trump and key state figures such as Senator Tim Scott and Governor Henry McMaster. Recent polling averages showed Graham at 46-52% support against a field of lesser-known challengers, with Mark Lynch as the main opponent drawing 21-36%. Graham's substantial fundraising advantage and established conservative record helped consolidate Republican primary voters, limiting any late surge by opponents. The primary occurred on June 9, 2026, with no runoff required. While a major scandal or sudden shift in voter sentiment could have narrowed the margin, the consistent polling lead and party unity made significant deviation unlikely.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
거래량
$7,277종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lindsey Graham's commanding position in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary stems from his status as a four-term incumbent with strong institutional backing, including early endorsements from President Trump and key state figures such as Senator Tim Scott and Governor Henry McMaster. Recent polling averages showed Graham at 46-52% support against a field of lesser-known challengers, with Mark Lynch as the main opponent drawing 21-36%. Graham's substantial fundraising advantage and established conservative record helped consolidate Republican primary voters, limiting any late surge by opponents. The primary occurred on June 9, 2026, with no runoff required. While a major scandal or sudden shift in voter sentiment could have narrowed the margin, the consistent polling lead and party unity made significant deviation unlikely.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
거래량
$7,277종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lindsey Graham's commanding position in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary stems from his status as a four-term incumbent with strong institutional backing, including early endorsements from President Trump and key state figures such as Senator Tim Scott and Governor Henry McMaster. Recent polling averages showed Graham at 46-52% support against a field of lesser-known challengers, with Mark Lynch as the main opponent drawing 21-36%. Graham's substantial fundraising advantage and established conservative record helped consolidate Republican primary voters, limiting any late surge by opponents. The primary occurred on June 9, 2026, with no runoff required. While a major scandal or sudden shift in voter sentiment could have narrowed the margin, the consistent polling lead and party unity made significant deviation unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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