The crowded South Carolina Republican primary for governor on June 9 featured Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, Attorney General Alan Wilson, and several congressional challengers in a fragmented field where no candidate approached a majority. President Trump's endorsement of Evette shifted momentum in the closing weeks, while recent Trafalgar and other polls showed her in a dead heat or narrow lead with Wilson. Early vote returns indicate Evette ahead by roughly 2.6 points, aligning with trader consensus that the margin falls under 5 percent. This positioning reflects the race's structural dynamics of split support among conservative voters and limited consolidation before primary day, leaving higher-margin outcomes for Evette or a Wilson upset at much lower implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트공화당 사우스캐롤라이나 주지사 예비선거: 1라운드 승리 여백
Evette <5% 89%
Evette 5–10% 5%
Wilson <5% 5%
Evette 10%+ 2.6%
$8,294 거래량
$8,294 거래량
Evette 10%+
3%
Evette 5–10%
5%
Evette <5%
89%
Wilson 5%+
2%
Wilson <5%
5%
Mace Wins
1%
Norman Wins
1%
Reddy Wins
2%
Evette <5% 89%
Evette 5–10% 5%
Wilson <5% 5%
Evette 10%+ 2.6%
$8,294 거래량
$8,294 거래량
Evette 10%+
3%
Evette 5–10%
5%
Evette <5%
89%
Wilson 5%+
2%
Wilson <5%
5%
Mace Wins
1%
Norman Wins
1%
Reddy Wins
2%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Governor Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Governor Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded South Carolina Republican primary for governor on June 9 featured Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, Attorney General Alan Wilson, and several congressional challengers in a fragmented field where no candidate approached a majority. President Trump's endorsement of Evette shifted momentum in the closing weeks, while recent Trafalgar and other polls showed her in a dead heat or narrow lead with Wilson. Early vote returns indicate Evette ahead by roughly 2.6 points, aligning with trader consensus that the margin falls under 5 percent. This positioning reflects the race's structural dynamics of split support among conservative voters and limited consolidation before primary day, leaving higher-margin outcomes for Evette or a Wilson upset at much lower implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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