Xavier Becerra holds the highest implied probability in the California governor primary due to his recent polling surge among Democrats, including a nine-point gain in the latest Emerson College survey to reach 19 percent support ahead of the June 2 top-two contest. This shift followed Eric Swalwell's withdrawal and accelerated fundraising that strengthened his position against rivals. Tom Steyer benefits from substantial campaign spending and consistent backing in multiple surveys, while Steve Hilton maintains strength as the leading Republican, bolstered by an endorsement from President Trump that has consolidated conservative support. The crowded field and recent final debate attacks on Becerra highlight the tight competition for the two advancement spots, with the remaining candidates trailing significantly in both polls and market pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Xavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 3.1%
$27,901 거래량
$27,901 거래량
2026.06.02
Xavier Becerra
47%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
2%
Katie Porter
2%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Xavier Becerra 47%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 3.1%
$27,901 거래량
$27,901 거래량
2026.06.02
Xavier Becerra
$7,632 거래량
47%
Tom Steyer
$4,763 거래량
25%
Steve Hilton
$3,637 거래량
23%
Chad Bianco
$1,124 거래량
3%
Matt Mahan
$1,835 거래량
2%
Katie Porter
$1,177 거래량
2%
Daniel Mercuri
$640 거래량
1%
Nicki Minaj
$738 거래량
1%
Raji Rab
$682 거래량
1%
Derek Grasty
$761 거래량
1%
Thunder Parley
$505 거래량
<1%
Elaine Culotti
$551 거래량
<1%
Tony Thurmond
$629 거래량
<1%
Betty Yee
$658 거래량
<1%
Carolina Buhler
$615 거래량
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$605 거래량
<1%
Leo Zacky
$682 거래량
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
$666 거래량
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds the highest implied probability in the California governor primary due to his recent polling surge among Democrats, including a nine-point gain in the latest Emerson College survey to reach 19 percent support ahead of the June 2 top-two contest. This shift followed Eric Swalwell's withdrawal and accelerated fundraising that strengthened his position against rivals. Tom Steyer benefits from substantial campaign spending and consistent backing in multiple surveys, while Steve Hilton maintains strength as the leading Republican, bolstered by an endorsement from President Trump that has consolidated conservative support. The crowded field and recent final debate attacks on Becerra highlight the tight competition for the two advancement spots, with the remaining candidates trailing significantly in both polls and market pricing.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
거래량
$27,901종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds the highest implied probability in the California governor primary due to his recent polling surge among Democrats, including a nine-point gain in the latest Emerson College survey to reach 19 percent support ahead of the June 2 top-two contest. This shift followed Eric Swalwell's withdrawal and accelerated fundraising that strengthened his position against rivals. Tom Steyer benefits from substantial campaign spending and consistent backing in multiple surveys, while Steve Hilton maintains strength as the leading Republican, bolstered by an endorsement from President Trump that has consolidated conservative support. The crowded field and recent final debate attacks on Becerra highlight the tight competition for the two advancement spots, with the remaining candidates trailing significantly in both polls and market pricing.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
거래량
$27,901종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra holds the highest implied probability in the California governor primary due to his recent polling surge among Democrats, including a nine-point gain in the latest Emerson College survey to reach 19 percent support ahead of the June 2 top-two contest. This shift followed Eric Swalwell's withdrawal and accelerated fundraising that strengthened his position against rivals. Tom Steyer benefits from substantial campaign spending and consistent backing in multiple surveys, while Steve Hilton maintains strength as the leading Republican, bolstered by an endorsement from President Trump that has consolidated conservative support. The crowded field and recent final debate attacks on Becerra highlight the tight competition for the two advancement spots, with the remaining candidates trailing significantly in both polls and market pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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