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icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 99.4%

Steve Hilton <1%

Thunder Parley <1%

Raji Rab <1%

Polymarket

$934,882 거래량

Xavier Becerra 99.4%

Steve Hilton <1%

Thunder Parley <1%

Raji Rab <1%

Polymarket

$934,882 거래량

Xavier Becerra

$331,623 거래량

99%

Steve Hilton

$336,952 거래량

<1%

Thunder Parley

$3,426 거래량

<1%

Raji Rab

$2,762 거래량

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$3,399 거래량

<1%

Betty Yee

$3,218 거래량

<1%

Chad Bianco

$34,740 거래량

<1%

Derek Grasty

$2,674 거래량

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$2,330 거래량

<1%

Katie Porter

$3,382 거래량

<1%

Tom Steyer

$179,351 거래량

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$2,744 거래량

<1%

Leo Zacky

$4,461 거래량

<1%

Matt Mahan

$4,704 거래량

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$3,543 거래량

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$5,262 거래량

<1%

Nicki Minaj

$6,000 거래량

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$4,310 거래량

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for governor with roughly 28% of the vote, advancing alongside Steve Hilton to the November general election. Democratic voter consolidation around the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and California attorney general—following the withdrawal of other contenders—combined with endorsements from labor, progressive groups, and elected officials propelled his lead in final tallies over Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer. Trader consensus at 98.8% for Becerra reflects these certified primary results and the substantial margin separating him from the field. Full certification by July 10 could still introduce minor shifts from remaining mail ballots, though current vote distributions make any change to first place highly improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
거래량
$934,882
종료일
2026.06.02
마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for governor with roughly 28% of the vote, advancing alongside Steve Hilton to the November general election. Democratic voter consolidation around the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and California attorney general—following the withdrawal of other contenders—combined with endorsements from labor, progressive groups, and elected officials propelled his lead in final tallies over Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer. Trader consensus at 98.8% for Becerra reflects these certified primary results and the substantial margin separating him from the field. Full certification by July 10 could still introduce minor shifts from remaining mail ballots, though current vote distributions make any change to first place highly improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
거래량
$934,882
종료일
2026.06.02
마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"은 18개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 99%의 "Xavier Becerra"이며, 이어서 0%의 "Steve Hilton"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 99¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 99%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "California Governor Primary Election: First Place"은 총 $934.9K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Apr 16, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 18개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"의 현재 유력 후보는 99%의 "Xavier Becerra"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 99%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 0%의 "Steve Hilton"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.