Trader consensus prices Oliver Adams Larkin slightly ahead of incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 35% to 33.5% implied probability for the August 18 FL-23 Democratic primary, reflecting Larkin's surge from late April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democratic Socialists of America chapters in South Florida. These bolster progressive turnout amid Larkin's attacks on Moskowitz's AIPAC ties and unconditional Israel aid, contrasting his push for Medicare for All, $25 minimum wage, and Green New Deal. A March internal poll showed Moskowitz leading 45%-11%, but traders weigh low-turnout primary dynamics and district's D+2 lean favoring incumbency unless new polls, debates, or Q2 fundraising shifts momentum before summer filing deadlines passed April 24.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,744 거래량
$20,744 거래량
2026.08.18
자레드 모스코위츠
35%
올리버 애덤스 라킨
32%
$20,744 거래량
$20,744 거래량
2026.08.18
자레드 모스코위츠
$9,579 거래량
35%
올리버 애덤스 라킨
$11,164 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Oliver Adams Larkin slightly ahead of incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 35% to 33.5% implied probability for the August 18 FL-23 Democratic primary, reflecting Larkin's surge from late April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democratic Socialists of America chapters in South Florida. These bolster progressive turnout amid Larkin's attacks on Moskowitz's AIPAC ties and unconditional Israel aid, contrasting his push for Medicare for All, $25 minimum wage, and Green New Deal. A March internal poll showed Moskowitz leading 45%-11%, but traders weigh low-turnout primary dynamics and district's D+2 lean favoring incumbency unless new polls, debates, or Q2 fundraising shifts momentum before summer filing deadlines passed April 24.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
거래량
$20,744종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Oliver Adams Larkin slightly ahead of incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 35% to 33.5% implied probability for the August 18 FL-23 Democratic primary, reflecting Larkin's surge from late April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democratic Socialists of America chapters in South Florida. These bolster progressive turnout amid Larkin's attacks on Moskowitz's AIPAC ties and unconditional Israel aid, contrasting his push for Medicare for All, $25 minimum wage, and Green New Deal. A March internal poll showed Moskowitz leading 45%-11%, but traders weigh low-turnout primary dynamics and district's D+2 lean favoring incumbency unless new polls, debates, or Q2 fundraising shifts momentum before summer filing deadlines passed April 24.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$20,744종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Oliver Adams Larkin slightly ahead of incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 35% to 33.5% implied probability for the August 18 FL-23 Democratic primary, reflecting Larkin's surge from late April endorsements by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democratic Socialists of America chapters in South Florida. These bolster progressive turnout amid Larkin's attacks on Moskowitz's AIPAC ties and unconditional Israel aid, contrasting his push for Medicare for All, $25 minimum wage, and Green New Deal. A March internal poll showed Moskowitz leading 45%-11%, but traders weigh low-turnout primary dynamics and district's D+2 lean favoring incumbency unless new polls, debates, or Q2 fundraising shifts momentum before summer filing deadlines passed April 24.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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