Trump's January endorsement of Rep. Julia Letlow has anchored trader consensus around her 79% implied probability in the May 16 Republican primary, as she consolidates support from voters prioritizing alignment with the president's agenda over Sen. Bill Cassidy's record. Cassidy's 2021 impeachment vote and subsequent clashes with administration priorities have kept his odds at just 2.3%, while State Treasurer John Fleming's 18.3% share reflects his self-funded appeal among hardline conservatives yet also fragments the anti-incumbent vote in a closed primary. Recent Emerson polling showed a tight three-way contest with significant undecideds, but bettors view Letlow's congressional incumbency and fundraising edge as decisive factors heading into Election Day, with limited late shifts expected to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트줄리아 렛로우 75%
존 플레밍 21.7%
빌 캐시디 3.8%
줄리 에머슨 <1%
$285,690 거래량
$285,690 거래량
줄리아 렛로우
75%
존 플레밍
22%
빌 캐시디
4%
줄리 에머슨
<1%
블레이크 미게즈
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
에릭 스크메타
<1%
사무엘 "새미" 와이어트
<1%
랜달 애링턴
<1%
트레이시 덴디
<1%
크리스 홀더
<1%
잔 존
<1%
줄리아 렛로우 75%
존 플레밍 21.7%
빌 캐시디 3.8%
줄리 에머슨 <1%
$285,690 거래량
$285,690 거래량
줄리아 렛로우
75%
존 플레밍
22%
빌 캐시디
4%
줄리 에머슨
<1%
블레이크 미게즈
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
에릭 스크메타
<1%
사무엘 "새미" 와이어트
<1%
랜달 애링턴
<1%
트레이시 덴디
<1%
크리스 홀더
<1%
잔 존
<1%
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's January endorsement of Rep. Julia Letlow has anchored trader consensus around her 79% implied probability in the May 16 Republican primary, as she consolidates support from voters prioritizing alignment with the president's agenda over Sen. Bill Cassidy's record. Cassidy's 2021 impeachment vote and subsequent clashes with administration priorities have kept his odds at just 2.3%, while State Treasurer John Fleming's 18.3% share reflects his self-funded appeal among hardline conservatives yet also fragments the anti-incumbent vote in a closed primary. Recent Emerson polling showed a tight three-way contest with significant undecideds, but bettors view Letlow's congressional incumbency and fundraising edge as decisive factors heading into Election Day, with limited late shifts expected to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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