Recent polls place left-wing senator Iván Cepeda leading the May 31 first round with 37–44 percent support, positioning him to advance while falling short of an outright majority. Traders assign high probability to right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella finishing second and entering the June 21 runoff, reflecting his stronger polling edge over center-right senator Paloma Valencia, who trails slightly after gaining ground in April surveys. Espriella’s hardline security platform, modeled on Bukele-style policies, and status as an independent have consolidated conservative backing amid polarization, while Valencia’s party primary victory has not yet translated into a decisive polling lead. The tight contest for second place, with roughly 15 percent undecided voters, keeps the outright-winner and alternative-pair outcomes at low implied probabilities ahead of voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 70%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 25%
1st Round Outright Winner 15%
Other 5%
신규
신규
2026.05.31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
75%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
25%
1st Round Outright Winner
15%
Other
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 70%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 25%
1st Round Outright Winner 15%
Other 5%
신규
신규
2026.05.31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$154 거래량
75%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$463 거래량
25%
1st Round Outright Winner
$166 거래량
15%
Other
$39 거래량
5%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$341 거래량
5%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls place left-wing senator Iván Cepeda leading the May 31 first round with 37–44 percent support, positioning him to advance while falling short of an outright majority. Traders assign high probability to right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella finishing second and entering the June 21 runoff, reflecting his stronger polling edge over center-right senator Paloma Valencia, who trails slightly after gaining ground in April surveys. Espriella’s hardline security platform, modeled on Bukele-style policies, and status as an independent have consolidated conservative backing amid polarization, while Valencia’s party primary victory has not yet translated into a decisive polling lead. The tight contest for second place, with roughly 15 percent undecided voters, keeps the outright-winner and alternative-pair outcomes at low implied probabilities ahead of voting.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
거래량
$1,162종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls place left-wing senator Iván Cepeda leading the May 31 first round with 37–44 percent support, positioning him to advance while falling short of an outright majority. Traders assign high probability to right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella finishing second and entering the June 21 runoff, reflecting his stronger polling edge over center-right senator Paloma Valencia, who trails slightly after gaining ground in April surveys. Espriella’s hardline security platform, modeled on Bukele-style policies, and status as an independent have consolidated conservative backing amid polarization, while Valencia’s party primary victory has not yet translated into a decisive polling lead. The tight contest for second place, with roughly 15 percent undecided voters, keeps the outright-winner and alternative-pair outcomes at low implied probabilities ahead of voting.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$1,162종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place left-wing senator Iván Cepeda leading the May 31 first round with 37–44 percent support, positioning him to advance while falling short of an outright majority. Traders assign high probability to right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella finishing second and entering the June 21 runoff, reflecting his stronger polling edge over center-right senator Paloma Valencia, who trails slightly after gaining ground in April surveys. Espriella’s hardline security platform, modeled on Bukele-style policies, and status as an independent have consolidated conservative backing amid polarization, while Valencia’s party primary victory has not yet translated into a decisive polling lead. The tight contest for second place, with roughly 15 percent undecided voters, keeps the outright-winner and alternative-pair outcomes at low implied probabilities ahead of voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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