The leading 54-57% turnout bin reflects Colombia's historical first-round average near 55%, as seen in 2022, combined with a late-April Invamer poll showing 56.5% of respondents very likely to participate. March legislative elections delivered low turnout near 48% amid a divided Congress and voter fatigue, yet the presidential contest's higher stakes and fragmented field—with Iván Cepeda leading polls but no candidate approaching a majority—have tempered expectations of a sharp mobilization surge. Traders price higher bins modestly because no single frontrunner or late campaign event has generated broad enthusiasm sufficient to exceed 60%, while lower ranges remain viable if apathy persists into the May 31 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.31
<48%
4%
48-51%
26%
51-54%
23%
54-57%
42%
57-60%
13%
60%+
11%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.31
<48%
$436 거래량
4%
48-51%
$428 거래량
26%
51-54%
$420 거래량
23%
54-57%
$441 거래량
42%
57-60%
$420 거래량
13%
60%+
$489 거래량
11%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The leading 54-57% turnout bin reflects Colombia's historical first-round average near 55%, as seen in 2022, combined with a late-April Invamer poll showing 56.5% of respondents very likely to participate. March legislative elections delivered low turnout near 48% amid a divided Congress and voter fatigue, yet the presidential contest's higher stakes and fragmented field—with Iván Cepeda leading polls but no candidate approaching a majority—have tempered expectations of a sharp mobilization surge. Traders price higher bins modestly because no single frontrunner or late campaign event has generated broad enthusiasm sufficient to exceed 60%, while lower ranges remain viable if apathy persists into the May 31 vote.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
거래량
$2,634종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The leading 54-57% turnout bin reflects Colombia's historical first-round average near 55%, as seen in 2022, combined with a late-April Invamer poll showing 56.5% of respondents very likely to participate. March legislative elections delivered low turnout near 48% amid a divided Congress and voter fatigue, yet the presidential contest's higher stakes and fragmented field—with Iván Cepeda leading polls but no candidate approaching a majority—have tempered expectations of a sharp mobilization surge. Traders price higher bins modestly because no single frontrunner or late campaign event has generated broad enthusiasm sufficient to exceed 60%, while lower ranges remain viable if apathy persists into the May 31 vote.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$2,634종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The leading 54-57% turnout bin reflects Colombia's historical first-round average near 55%, as seen in 2022, combined with a late-April Invamer poll showing 56.5% of respondents very likely to participate. March legislative elections delivered low turnout near 48% amid a divided Congress and voter fatigue, yet the presidential contest's higher stakes and fragmented field—with Iván Cepeda leading polls but no candidate approaching a majority—have tempered expectations of a sharp mobilization surge. Traders price higher bins modestly because no single frontrunner or late campaign event has generated broad enthusiasm sufficient to exceed 60%, while lower ranges remain viable if apathy persists into the May 31 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문