The closely matched probabilities for Darijana Filipović and Slaven Kovačević in the contest for the Croat seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina's tripartite Presidency reflect a fragmented Croat political landscape where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the 2026 general elections. Internal party dynamics within the Croatian Democratic Union and rival groups, combined with ongoing debates over constitutional representation and Federation-level reforms, sustain this tight positioning among traders. Zdenko Lučić remains further back due to narrower visibility and backing. Scheduled electoral processes and potential late endorsements or shifts in voter alignment among eligible Croat communities could widen gaps or realign the field before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Darijana Filipović 49%
Slaven Kovačević 45%
Zdenko Lučić 10.6%
신규
신규
2026.10.04
Darijana Filipović
49%
Slaven Kovačević
45%
Zdenko Lučić
11%
Darijana Filipović 49%
Slaven Kovačević 45%
Zdenko Lučić 10.6%
신규
신규
2026.10.04
Darijana Filipović
$770 거래량
49%
Slaven Kovačević
$1,150 거래량
45%
Zdenko Lučić
$41 거래량
11%
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities for Darijana Filipović and Slaven Kovačević in the contest for the Croat seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina's tripartite Presidency reflect a fragmented Croat political landscape where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the 2026 general elections. Internal party dynamics within the Croatian Democratic Union and rival groups, combined with ongoing debates over constitutional representation and Federation-level reforms, sustain this tight positioning among traders. Zdenko Lučić remains further back due to narrower visibility and backing. Scheduled electoral processes and potential late endorsements or shifts in voter alignment among eligible Croat communities could widen gaps or realign the field before resolution.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
거래량
$1,962종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities for Darijana Filipović and Slaven Kovačević in the contest for the Croat seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina's tripartite Presidency reflect a fragmented Croat political landscape where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the 2026 general elections. Internal party dynamics within the Croatian Democratic Union and rival groups, combined with ongoing debates over constitutional representation and Federation-level reforms, sustain this tight positioning among traders. Zdenko Lučić remains further back due to narrower visibility and backing. Scheduled electoral processes and potential late endorsements or shifts in voter alignment among eligible Croat communities could widen gaps or realign the field before resolution.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,962종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities for Darijana Filipović and Slaven Kovačević in the contest for the Croat seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina's tripartite Presidency reflect a fragmented Croat political landscape where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the 2026 general elections. Internal party dynamics within the Croatian Democratic Union and rival groups, combined with ongoing debates over constitutional representation and Federation-level reforms, sustain this tight positioning among traders. Zdenko Lučić remains further back due to narrower visibility and backing. Scheduled electoral processes and potential late endorsements or shifts in voter alignment among eligible Croat communities could widen gaps or realign the field before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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