Recent polls from Emerson College, David Binder Research, and Kreate Strategies—conducted in early to mid-May 2026—show Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied for first in California's June 2 top-two primary for governor at 19-23%, with Democrat Xavier Becerra close behind at 19-22% and Democrat Tom Steyer at 14-18%, while fellow Republican Chad Bianco trails at 11-13%. This fragmented Democratic field amid high undecideds (10-23%) has traders pricing a 73.5% chance of one Democrat and one Republican advancing, reflecting Hilton's strong positioning for second place overall. A Dem-Dem outcome at 23.5% accounts for potential late Democratic consolidation, while Rep-Rep remains slim at 3.3% given Bianco's gap. The final debate this week could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트민주-공화 74%
민주-민주 24%
공-공 3.3%
$71,997 거래량
$71,997 거래량
2026.06.02
민주-공화
74%
민주-민주
24%
공-공
3%
민주-공화 74%
민주-민주 24%
공-공 3.3%
$71,997 거래량
$71,997 거래량
2026.06.02
민주-공화
$30,396 거래량
74%
민주-민주
$30,003 거래량
24%
공-공
$11,599 거래량
3%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls from Emerson College, David Binder Research, and Kreate Strategies—conducted in early to mid-May 2026—show Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied for first in California's June 2 top-two primary for governor at 19-23%, with Democrat Xavier Becerra close behind at 19-22% and Democrat Tom Steyer at 14-18%, while fellow Republican Chad Bianco trails at 11-13%. This fragmented Democratic field amid high undecideds (10-23%) has traders pricing a 73.5% chance of one Democrat and one Republican advancing, reflecting Hilton's strong positioning for second place overall. A Dem-Dem outcome at 23.5% accounts for potential late Democratic consolidation, while Rep-Rep remains slim at 3.3% given Bianco's gap. The final debate this week could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
거래량
$71,997종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls from Emerson College, David Binder Research, and Kreate Strategies—conducted in early to mid-May 2026—show Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied for first in California's June 2 top-two primary for governor at 19-23%, with Democrat Xavier Becerra close behind at 19-22% and Democrat Tom Steyer at 14-18%, while fellow Republican Chad Bianco trails at 11-13%. This fragmented Democratic field amid high undecideds (10-23%) has traders pricing a 73.5% chance of one Democrat and one Republican advancing, reflecting Hilton's strong positioning for second place overall. A Dem-Dem outcome at 23.5% accounts for potential late Democratic consolidation, while Rep-Rep remains slim at 3.3% given Bianco's gap. The final debate this week could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
거래량
$71,997종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from Emerson College, David Binder Research, and Kreate Strategies—conducted in early to mid-May 2026—show Republican Steve Hilton leading or tied for first in California's June 2 top-two primary for governor at 19-23%, with Democrat Xavier Becerra close behind at 19-22% and Democrat Tom Steyer at 14-18%, while fellow Republican Chad Bianco trails at 11-13%. This fragmented Democratic field amid high undecideds (10-23%) has traders pricing a 73.5% chance of one Democrat and one Republican advancing, reflecting Hilton's strong positioning for second place overall. A Dem-Dem outcome at 23.5% accounts for potential late Democratic consolidation, while Rep-Rep remains slim at 3.3% given Bianco's gap. The final debate this week could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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