Trader consensus assigns Labour an overwhelming probability of finishing second in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections, reflecting the party's established national position after its 2024 general election win and steady results in recent council by-elections and mayoral contests. Reform's minimal share aligns with its narrower organizational base and emphasis on parliamentary rather than local campaigns. Key variables that could still alter this positioning include shifts in turnout among core voter groups, economic announcements affecting public confidence, or stronger showings by the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats in English and Welsh councils. Markets resolve on official tallies from the May contests.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Labour 100.0%
Conservative <1%
Liberal Democrats <1%
Reform <1%
$294,378 거래량
$294,378 거래량
2026.05.07
Labour
Yes
Conservative
No
Liberal Democrats
No
Reform
No
Green
No
Labour 100.0%
Conservative <1%
Liberal Democrats <1%
Reform <1%
$294,378 거래량
$294,378 거래량
2026.05.07
Labour
$87,879 거래량
Yes
Conservative
$45,398 거래량
No
Liberal Democrats
$50,519 거래량
No
Reform
$92,195 거래량
No
Green
$18,387 거래량
No
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus assigns Labour an overwhelming probability of finishing second in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections, reflecting the party's established national position after its 2024 general election win and steady results in recent council by-elections and mayoral contests. Reform's minimal share aligns with its narrower organizational base and emphasis on parliamentary rather than local campaigns. Key variables that could still alter this positioning include shifts in turnout among core voter groups, economic announcements affecting public confidence, or stronger showings by the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats in English and Welsh councils. Markets resolve on official tallies from the May contests.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
거래량
$294,378종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus assigns Labour an overwhelming probability of finishing second in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections, reflecting the party's established national position after its 2024 general election win and steady results in recent council by-elections and mayoral contests. Reform's minimal share aligns with its narrower organizational base and emphasis on parliamentary rather than local campaigns. Key variables that could still alter this positioning include shifts in turnout among core voter groups, economic announcements affecting public confidence, or stronger showings by the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats in English and Welsh councils. Markets resolve on official tallies from the May contests.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
거래량
$294,378종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Trader consensus assigns Labour an overwhelming probability of finishing second in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections, reflecting the party's established national position after its 2024 general election win and steady results in recent council by-elections and mayoral contests. Reform's minimal share aligns with its narrower organizational base and emphasis on parliamentary rather than local campaigns. Key variables that could still alter this positioning include shifts in turnout among core voter groups, economic announcements affecting public confidence, or stronger showings by the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats in English and Welsh councils. Markets resolve on official tallies from the May contests.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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