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icon for 스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?

스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?

icon for 스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?

스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?

14% 확률
Polymarket
신규

14% 확률
Polymarket
신규
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt calls for a recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by July 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any general demand for a recount will qualify. If the candidate specifies the size of their demanded recount, it must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidate will advance to the runoff. Demands for minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a demand for a recount for the purposes of this market. A qualifying statement must definitively demand that a recount occur. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their demand for a recount falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations will not count.**Spencer Pratt’s response to finishing third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary has shaped trader views on a potential first-round recount.** Vote counting continued for more than a week after election day, with Nithya Raman overtaking Pratt for second place behind incumbent Karen Bass and advancing to the November runoff. Pratt posted a video acknowledging the end of the “campaign portion” of his effort while criticizing the advancing candidates, but he made no reference to contesting the certified results or requesting a recount. President Trump’s separate fraud allegations have not been echoed by Pratt in calls for official review. With the margin between second and third place now established and no procedural steps toward a recount initiated, traders assign an 86% probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any public demand or legal action by the candidate within the relevant window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt calls for a recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by July 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any general demand for a recount will qualify. If the candidate specifies the size of their demanded recount, it must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidate will advance to the runoff. Demands for minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a demand for a recount for the purposes of this market.

A qualifying statement must definitively demand that a recount occur. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify.

Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their demand for a recount falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations will not count.
거래량
$2,522
마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt calls for a recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by July 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any general demand for a recount will qualify. If the candidate specifies the size of their demanded recount, it must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidate will advance to the runoff. Demands for minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a demand for a recount for the purposes of this market. A qualifying statement must definitively demand that a recount occur. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their demand for a recount falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations will not count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt calls for a recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by July 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any general demand for a recount will qualify. If the candidate specifies the size of their demanded recount, it must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidate will advance to the runoff. Demands for minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a demand for a recount for the purposes of this market. A qualifying statement must definitively demand that a recount occur. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their demand for a recount falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations will not count.**Spencer Pratt’s response to finishing third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary has shaped trader views on a potential first-round recount.** Vote counting continued for more than a week after election day, with Nithya Raman overtaking Pratt for second place behind incumbent Karen Bass and advancing to the November runoff. Pratt posted a video acknowledging the end of the “campaign portion” of his effort while criticizing the advancing candidates, but he made no reference to contesting the certified results or requesting a recount. President Trump’s separate fraud allegations have not been echoed by Pratt in calls for official review. With the margin between second and third place now established and no procedural steps toward a recount initiated, traders assign an 86% probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any public demand or legal action by the candidate within the relevant window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt calls for a recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by July 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any general demand for a recount will qualify. If the candidate specifies the size of their demanded recount, it must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidate will advance to the runoff. Demands for minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a demand for a recount for the purposes of this market.

A qualifying statement must definitively demand that a recount occur. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify.

Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their demand for a recount falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations will not count.
거래량
$2,522
마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt calls for a recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by July 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any general demand for a recount will qualify. If the candidate specifies the size of their demanded recount, it must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidate will advance to the runoff. Demands for minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a demand for a recount for the purposes of this market. A qualifying statement must definitively demand that a recount occur. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their demand for a recount falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations will not count.

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자주 묻는 질문

"스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 14%의 "스펜서 프랫이 1차 투표 재검표를 요구할까요?"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 14¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 14%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 8, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 14%의 "스펜서 프랫이 1차 투표 재검표를 요구할까요?"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 14%의 확률을 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"스펜서 프랫이 1차 재계산을 요청할까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.