Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 96¢ in the IL-04 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+17 Cook PVI and history of lopsided Democratic wins—67.5% in 2024 for retiring Rep. Jesús "Chuy" García over the same Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo. Patty García, García's endorsed chief of staff, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17 primary and recently earned the Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsement on May 12, bolstering her in this Latino-majority Chicago-area stronghold. No district polling exists, but ratings from Cook Political Report and others remain Solid Democratic. A Republican upset would require a national GOP wave, low Democratic turnout, or scandal hitting García, with independents potentially splintering anti-Democratic votes ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$45,542 거래량
$45,542 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
3%
$45,542 거래량
$45,542 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$31,088 거래량
96%
공화당
$14,454 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 96¢ in the IL-04 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+17 Cook PVI and history of lopsided Democratic wins—67.5% in 2024 for retiring Rep. Jesús "Chuy" García over the same Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo. Patty García, García's endorsed chief of staff, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17 primary and recently earned the Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsement on May 12, bolstering her in this Latino-majority Chicago-area stronghold. No district polling exists, but ratings from Cook Political Report and others remain Solid Democratic. A Republican upset would require a national GOP wave, low Democratic turnout, or scandal hitting García, with independents potentially splintering anti-Democratic votes ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$45,542종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 96¢ in the IL-04 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+17 Cook PVI and history of lopsided Democratic wins—67.5% in 2024 for retiring Rep. Jesús "Chuy" García over the same Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo. Patty García, García's endorsed chief of staff, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17 primary and recently earned the Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsement on May 12, bolstering her in this Latino-majority Chicago-area stronghold. No district polling exists, but ratings from Cook Political Report and others remain Solid Democratic. A Republican upset would require a national GOP wave, low Democratic turnout, or scandal hitting García, with independents potentially splintering anti-Democratic votes ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$45,542종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 96¢ in the IL-04 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+17 Cook PVI and history of lopsided Democratic wins—67.5% in 2024 for retiring Rep. Jesús "Chuy" García over the same Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo. Patty García, García's endorsed chief of staff, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17 primary and recently earned the Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsement on May 12, bolstering her in this Latino-majority Chicago-area stronghold. No district polling exists, but ratings from Cook Political Report and others remain Solid Democratic. A Republican upset would require a national GOP wave, low Democratic turnout, or scandal hitting García, with independents potentially splintering anti-Democratic votes ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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