Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for the GOP in TX-31's general election matchup against Democratic nominee Justin Early. The district's R+11 partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024 and Carter's prior 64% victory margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning, as rated Solid or Safe by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Carter's fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Early's $89,000 through Q1—further bolsters his incumbency advantage amid quiet post-primary developments. No public polling exists yet, with the November 3 contest six months away.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,946 거래량
$13,946 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
85%
민주당
16%
$13,946 거래량
$13,946 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,720 거래량
85%
민주당
$5,226 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for the GOP in TX-31's general election matchup against Democratic nominee Justin Early. The district's R+11 partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024 and Carter's prior 64% victory margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning, as rated Solid or Safe by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Carter's fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Early's $89,000 through Q1—further bolsters his incumbency advantage amid quiet post-primary developments. No public polling exists yet, with the November 3 contest six months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$13,946종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for the GOP in TX-31's general election matchup against Democratic nominee Justin Early. The district's R+11 partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024 and Carter's prior 64% victory margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning, as rated Solid or Safe by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Carter's fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Early's $89,000 through Q1—further bolsters his incumbency advantage amid quiet post-primary developments. No public polling exists yet, with the November 3 contest six months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,946종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for the GOP in TX-31's general election matchup against Democratic nominee Justin Early. The district's R+11 partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024 and Carter's prior 64% victory margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning, as rated Solid or Safe by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Carter's fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Early's $89,000 through Q1—further bolsters his incumbency advantage amid quiet post-primary developments. No public polling exists yet, with the November 3 contest six months away.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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