South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the party holding an 80% implied probability in current trader pricing. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, including Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, after recent adjustments to candidate filing deadlines. The district's consistent partisan lean, combined with Wilson's long tenure and limited Democratic opposition so far, anchors expectations for a Republican general-election victory. Democratic candidates trail notably at 21%, reflecting the seat's historical voting patterns and lack of competitive polling momentum. Upcoming primary results could clarify the nominee but are unlikely to alter the broader outlook absent major shifts in turnout or endorsements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,081 거래량
$30,081 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
80%
민주당
21%
$30,081 거래량
$30,081 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,321 거래량
80%
민주당
$19,760 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the party holding an 80% implied probability in current trader pricing. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, including Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, after recent adjustments to candidate filing deadlines. The district's consistent partisan lean, combined with Wilson's long tenure and limited Democratic opposition so far, anchors expectations for a Republican general-election victory. Democratic candidates trail notably at 21%, reflecting the seat's historical voting patterns and lack of competitive polling momentum. Upcoming primary results could clarify the nominee but are unlikely to alter the broader outlook absent major shifts in turnout or endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$30,081종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the party holding an 80% implied probability in current trader pricing. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, including Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, after recent adjustments to candidate filing deadlines. The district's consistent partisan lean, combined with Wilson's long tenure and limited Democratic opposition so far, anchors expectations for a Republican general-election victory. Democratic candidates trail notably at 21%, reflecting the seat's historical voting patterns and lack of competitive polling momentum. Upcoming primary results could clarify the nominee but are unlikely to alter the broader outlook absent major shifts in turnout or endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,081종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the party holding an 80% implied probability in current trader pricing. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, including Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, after recent adjustments to candidate filing deadlines. The district's consistent partisan lean, combined with Wilson's long tenure and limited Democratic opposition so far, anchors expectations for a Republican general-election victory. Democratic candidates trail notably at 21%, reflecting the seat's historical voting patterns and lack of competitive polling momentum. Upcoming primary results could clarify the nominee but are unlikely to alter the broader outlook absent major shifts in turnout or endorsements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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