Trader consensus positions Democrats as the frontrunner in Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the seat produced the narrowest Republican hold in the 2024 cycle, with incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks winning by just 0.2 points. Christina Bohannan, the 2024 Democratic nominee, is heavily favored to win her June 2 primary and advance to a likely rematch. Recent fundraising reports show Democratic candidates outraising the Republican ticket, while Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the race a toss-up. Midterm dynamics, the district’s modest R+4 partisan lean, and sustained national attention on the contest continue to support elevated Democratic probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
26%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$734 거래량
71%
Republican Party
$641 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus positions Democrats as the frontrunner in Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the seat produced the narrowest Republican hold in the 2024 cycle, with incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks winning by just 0.2 points. Christina Bohannan, the 2024 Democratic nominee, is heavily favored to win her June 2 primary and advance to a likely rematch. Recent fundraising reports show Democratic candidates outraising the Republican ticket, while Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the race a toss-up. Midterm dynamics, the district’s modest R+4 partisan lean, and sustained national attention on the contest continue to support elevated Democratic probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
거래량
$1,374종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus positions Democrats as the frontrunner in Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the seat produced the narrowest Republican hold in the 2024 cycle, with incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks winning by just 0.2 points. Christina Bohannan, the 2024 Democratic nominee, is heavily favored to win her June 2 primary and advance to a likely rematch. Recent fundraising reports show Democratic candidates outraising the Republican ticket, while Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the race a toss-up. Midterm dynamics, the district’s modest R+4 partisan lean, and sustained national attention on the contest continue to support elevated Democratic probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,374종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Democrats as the frontrunner in Iowa’s 1st congressional district because the seat produced the narrowest Republican hold in the 2024 cycle, with incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks winning by just 0.2 points. Christina Bohannan, the 2024 Democratic nominee, is heavily favored to win her June 2 primary and advance to a likely rematch. Recent fundraising reports show Democratic candidates outraising the Republican ticket, while Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the race a toss-up. Midterm dynamics, the district’s modest R+4 partisan lean, and sustained national attention on the contest continue to support elevated Democratic probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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