Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), who has represented Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District since 2005, confirmed her reelection bid in January 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in this November 3 general election. The district, a Democratic stronghold encompassing Milwaukee with a history of lopsided victories—often exceeding 70% margins—remains rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, reflecting strong urban turnout and minimal Republican infrastructure. No credible GOP challengers have emerged ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, further entrenching the frontrunner status. Upsets could arise from a national Republican wave, a major Democratic scandal, health issues, or legal developments, though such shifts are rare in safe seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,230 거래량
$19,230 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
4%
$19,230 거래량
$19,230 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$5,971 거래량
94%
공화당
$13,259 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), who has represented Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District since 2005, confirmed her reelection bid in January 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in this November 3 general election. The district, a Democratic stronghold encompassing Milwaukee with a history of lopsided victories—often exceeding 70% margins—remains rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, reflecting strong urban turnout and minimal Republican infrastructure. No credible GOP challengers have emerged ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, further entrenching the frontrunner status. Upsets could arise from a national Republican wave, a major Democratic scandal, health issues, or legal developments, though such shifts are rare in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$19,230종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), who has represented Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District since 2005, confirmed her reelection bid in January 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in this November 3 general election. The district, a Democratic stronghold encompassing Milwaukee with a history of lopsided victories—often exceeding 70% margins—remains rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, reflecting strong urban turnout and minimal Republican infrastructure. No credible GOP challengers have emerged ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, further entrenching the frontrunner status. Upsets could arise from a national Republican wave, a major Democratic scandal, health issues, or legal developments, though such shifts are rare in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,230종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), who has represented Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District since 2005, confirmed her reelection bid in January 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in this November 3 general election. The district, a Democratic stronghold encompassing Milwaukee with a history of lopsided victories—often exceeding 70% margins—remains rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, reflecting strong urban turnout and minimal Republican infrastructure. No credible GOP challengers have emerged ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, further entrenching the frontrunner status. Upsets could arise from a national Republican wave, a major Democratic scandal, health issues, or legal developments, though such shifts are rare in safe seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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