Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District House race, opened by Rep. Kevin Hern's March announcement for a U.S. Senate bid, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 86% to hold the seat, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+14) and historical GOP dominance in general elections. A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David, faces the June 16 primary, where former President Trump's May 7 endorsement of pastor Jackson Lahmeyer—followed by Club for Growth backing—has boosted frontrunner momentum and party unity signals. Democrats field limited challengers in their concurrent primary, underscoring structural barriers in this reliably red battleground, with the general election set for November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,853 거래량
$11,853 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 거래량
$11,853 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,313 거래량
86%
Democratic Party
$5,540 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District House race, opened by Rep. Kevin Hern's March announcement for a U.S. Senate bid, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 86% to hold the seat, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+14) and historical GOP dominance in general elections. A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David, faces the June 16 primary, where former President Trump's May 7 endorsement of pastor Jackson Lahmeyer—followed by Club for Growth backing—has boosted frontrunner momentum and party unity signals. Democrats field limited challengers in their concurrent primary, underscoring structural barriers in this reliably red battleground, with the general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,853종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District House race, opened by Rep. Kevin Hern's March announcement for a U.S. Senate bid, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 86% to hold the seat, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+14) and historical GOP dominance in general elections. A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David, faces the June 16 primary, where former President Trump's May 7 endorsement of pastor Jackson Lahmeyer—followed by Club for Growth backing—has boosted frontrunner momentum and party unity signals. Democrats field limited challengers in their concurrent primary, underscoring structural barriers in this reliably red battleground, with the general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,853종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District House race, opened by Rep. Kevin Hern's March announcement for a U.S. Senate bid, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 86% to hold the seat, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+14) and historical GOP dominance in general elections. A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David, faces the June 16 primary, where former President Trump's May 7 endorsement of pastor Jackson Lahmeyer—followed by Club for Growth backing—has boosted frontrunner momentum and party unity signals. Democrats field limited challengers in their concurrent primary, underscoring structural barriers in this reliably red battleground, with the general election set for November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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