South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Republican House winner, reflecting the incumbent party's consistent double-digit general election margins, including William Timmons' 59.9% victory in 2024. Timmons seeks a final term amid a competitive June 9 Republican primary against David Atchley and Robert E. Lee, bolstered by a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Courtney McClain holds the uncontested Democratic primary slot ahead of the June 23 runoff if needed. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring the district's structural barriers to a Democratic upset in the November 3 general election despite national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,304 거래량
$11,304 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
$11,304 거래량
$11,304 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$9,043 거래량
89%
Democratic Party
$2,261 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Republican House winner, reflecting the incumbent party's consistent double-digit general election margins, including William Timmons' 59.9% victory in 2024. Timmons seeks a final term amid a competitive June 9 Republican primary against David Atchley and Robert E. Lee, bolstered by a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Courtney McClain holds the uncontested Democratic primary slot ahead of the June 23 runoff if needed. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring the district's structural barriers to a Democratic upset in the November 3 general election despite national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,304종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Republican House winner, reflecting the incumbent party's consistent double-digit general election margins, including William Timmons' 59.9% victory in 2024. Timmons seeks a final term amid a competitive June 9 Republican primary against David Atchley and Robert E. Lee, bolstered by a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Courtney McClain holds the uncontested Democratic primary slot ahead of the June 23 runoff if needed. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring the district's structural barriers to a Democratic upset in the November 3 general election despite national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,304종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Republican House winner, reflecting the incumbent party's consistent double-digit general election margins, including William Timmons' 59.9% victory in 2024. Timmons seeks a final term amid a competitive June 9 Republican primary against David Atchley and Robert E. Lee, bolstered by a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Courtney McClain holds the uncontested Democratic primary slot ahead of the June 23 runoff if needed. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring the district's structural barriers to a Democratic upset in the November 3 general election despite national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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