Republican incumbent David Rouzer secured his party's nomination with an 80 percent primary vote share in March, positioning him for a strong general election bid in North Carolina's 7th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage, and forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican based on voter registration trends, past election margins, and the absence of competitive Democratic primary activity. With the November general election still months away, traders assign the Republican Party a 79.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's structural tilt and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge. The Democratic nominee, Kimberly Hardy, faces the challenge of overcoming these fundamentals in a district where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,324 거래량
$10,324 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
21%
$10,324 거래량
$10,324 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,590 거래량
80%
Democratic Party
$8,733 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent David Rouzer secured his party's nomination with an 80 percent primary vote share in March, positioning him for a strong general election bid in North Carolina's 7th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage, and forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican based on voter registration trends, past election margins, and the absence of competitive Democratic primary activity. With the November general election still months away, traders assign the Republican Party a 79.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's structural tilt and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge. The Democratic nominee, Kimberly Hardy, faces the challenge of overcoming these fundamentals in a district where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$10,324종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent David Rouzer secured his party's nomination with an 80 percent primary vote share in March, positioning him for a strong general election bid in North Carolina's 7th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage, and forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican based on voter registration trends, past election margins, and the absence of competitive Democratic primary activity. With the November general election still months away, traders assign the Republican Party a 79.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's structural tilt and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge. The Democratic nominee, Kimberly Hardy, faces the challenge of overcoming these fundamentals in a district where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,324종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent David Rouzer secured his party's nomination with an 80 percent primary vote share in March, positioning him for a strong general election bid in North Carolina's 7th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage, and forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican based on voter registration trends, past election margins, and the absence of competitive Democratic primary activity. With the November general election still months away, traders assign the Republican Party a 79.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's structural tilt and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge. The Democratic nominee, Kimberly Hardy, faces the challenge of overcoming these fundamentals in a district where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문