Incumbent Rep. Eric Sorensen (D) holds a commanding position in the IL-17 House race following his unopposed March 17 primary win, facing Republican challenger Dillan Vancil, who narrowly defeated Julie Bickelhaupt by 58%-42%. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 70%, reflecting Sorensen's fundraising dominance—over $1.8 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Vancil's $196,000—along with the district's D+3 partisan lean, where Kamala Harris won by five points in 2024. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, though rural areas provide GOP upside amid midterm dynamics. No major developments in the past 30 days, with focus shifting to November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
17%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$804 거래량
84%
Republican Party
$648 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eric Sorensen (D) holds a commanding position in the IL-17 House race following his unopposed March 17 primary win, facing Republican challenger Dillan Vancil, who narrowly defeated Julie Bickelhaupt by 58%-42%. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 70%, reflecting Sorensen's fundraising dominance—over $1.8 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Vancil's $196,000—along with the district's D+3 partisan lean, where Kamala Harris won by five points in 2024. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, though rural areas provide GOP upside amid midterm dynamics. No major developments in the past 30 days, with focus shifting to November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$1,452종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eric Sorensen (D) holds a commanding position in the IL-17 House race following his unopposed March 17 primary win, facing Republican challenger Dillan Vancil, who narrowly defeated Julie Bickelhaupt by 58%-42%. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 70%, reflecting Sorensen's fundraising dominance—over $1.8 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Vancil's $196,000—along with the district's D+3 partisan lean, where Kamala Harris won by five points in 2024. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, though rural areas provide GOP upside amid midterm dynamics. No major developments in the past 30 days, with focus shifting to November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,452종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Eric Sorensen (D) holds a commanding position in the IL-17 House race following his unopposed March 17 primary win, facing Republican challenger Dillan Vancil, who narrowly defeated Julie Bickelhaupt by 58%-42%. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 70%, reflecting Sorensen's fundraising dominance—over $1.8 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Vancil's $196,000—along with the district's D+3 partisan lean, where Kamala Harris won by five points in 2024. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, though rural areas provide GOP upside amid midterm dynamics. No major developments in the past 30 days, with focus shifting to November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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