Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R) holds a commanding fundraising edge with $1.8 million raised and $1.65 million cash on hand as of late March, bolstering Republican prospects in the solidly red MD-01, rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index from 2024 presidential results. Trader consensus tilts toward the GOP nominee at 54% implied probability ahead of the June 23 primaries, where Harris faces token opposition from Christopher Bruneau, while Democrats navigate a fragmented primary field led by Dan Schwartz's $505,000 haul amid four contenders. Early April reports highlighted Democratic recruitment efforts targeting Harris' past role in 2020 election challenges, sustaining 42% odds for their nominee in this Eastern Shore battleground despite historical GOP dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
42%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$5,242 거래량
55%
Democratic Party
$2,740 거래량
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R) holds a commanding fundraising edge with $1.8 million raised and $1.65 million cash on hand as of late March, bolstering Republican prospects in the solidly red MD-01, rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index from 2024 presidential results. Trader consensus tilts toward the GOP nominee at 54% implied probability ahead of the June 23 primaries, where Harris faces token opposition from Christopher Bruneau, while Democrats navigate a fragmented primary field led by Dan Schwartz's $505,000 haul amid four contenders. Early April reports highlighted Democratic recruitment efforts targeting Harris' past role in 2020 election challenges, sustaining 42% odds for their nominee in this Eastern Shore battleground despite historical GOP dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$7,982종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R) holds a commanding fundraising edge with $1.8 million raised and $1.65 million cash on hand as of late March, bolstering Republican prospects in the solidly red MD-01, rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index from 2024 presidential results. Trader consensus tilts toward the GOP nominee at 54% implied probability ahead of the June 23 primaries, where Harris faces token opposition from Christopher Bruneau, while Democrats navigate a fragmented primary field led by Dan Schwartz's $505,000 haul amid four contenders. Early April reports highlighted Democratic recruitment efforts targeting Harris' past role in 2020 election challenges, sustaining 42% odds for their nominee in this Eastern Shore battleground despite historical GOP dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,982종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R) holds a commanding fundraising edge with $1.8 million raised and $1.65 million cash on hand as of late March, bolstering Republican prospects in the solidly red MD-01, rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index from 2024 presidential results. Trader consensus tilts toward the GOP nominee at 54% implied probability ahead of the June 23 primaries, where Harris faces token opposition from Christopher Bruneau, while Democrats navigate a fragmented primary field led by Dan Schwartz's $505,000 haul amid four contenders. Early April reports highlighted Democratic recruitment efforts targeting Harris' past role in 2020 election challenges, sustaining 42% odds for their nominee in this Eastern Shore battleground despite historical GOP dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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