Maryland's 1st congressional district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 59.4 percent in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Chris Bruneau ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries, while multiple Democrats compete for their nomination. Recent efforts to redraw the district map to favor Democrats have not altered its underlying partisan balance. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established support in a district that includes parts of the Eastern Shore and suburban counties, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$11,921 거래량
$11,921 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
21%
$11,921 거래량
$11,921 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$7,163 거래량
78%
Democratic Party
$4,758 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 59.4 percent in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Chris Bruneau ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries, while multiple Democrats compete for their nomination. Recent efforts to redraw the district map to favor Democrats have not altered its underlying partisan balance. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established support in a district that includes parts of the Eastern Shore and suburban counties, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$11,921종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 59.4 percent in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Chris Bruneau ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries, while multiple Democrats compete for their nomination. Recent efforts to redraw the district map to favor Democrats have not altered its underlying partisan balance. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established support in a district that includes parts of the Eastern Shore and suburban counties, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,921종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 1st congressional district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Republican Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with 59.4 percent in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Chris Bruneau ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries, while multiple Democrats compete for their nomination. Recent efforts to redraw the district map to favor Democrats have not altered its underlying partisan balance. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established support in a district that includes parts of the Eastern Shore and suburban counties, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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