In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Mai Vang
57%
Doris Matsui
40%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Mai Vang
$4,242 거래량
57%
Doris Matsui
$1,318 거래량
40%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
거래량
$5,560종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,560종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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