Washington’s 4th Congressional District features an open-seat top-two primary on August 4, 2026, after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek re-election. Eleven candidates have filed, dominated by Republicans including state Senator Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney—who leads early fundraising—and others such as Jerrod Sessler. Democrat John Duresky is the main non-Republican contender in the solidly Republican district. Washington’s jungle primary advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so Republican vote fragmentation and candidate positioning on endorsements and resources will determine which contenders advance to the November general election. No primary-specific polling has surfaced recently.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트WA-04 Primary Winners
Matt Boehnke
59%
Amanda McKinney
57%
John Duresky
48%
Jerrod Sessler
47%
Devin Pooré
45%
John Hughs
45%
Carmen Black
45%
Ken Vaz
45%
Favian Valencia
44%
Zac Rossi
43%
Elpidia Saavedra
43%
Jack Kobiesa
42%
$185 거래량
Matt Boehnke
59%
Amanda McKinney
57%
John Duresky
48%
Jerrod Sessler
47%
Devin Pooré
45%
John Hughs
45%
Carmen Black
45%
Ken Vaz
45%
Favian Valencia
44%
Zac Rossi
43%
Elpidia Saavedra
43%
Jack Kobiesa
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Washington’s 4th Congressional District features an open-seat top-two primary on August 4, 2026, after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek re-election. Eleven candidates have filed, dominated by Republicans including state Senator Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney—who leads early fundraising—and others such as Jerrod Sessler. Democrat John Duresky is the main non-Republican contender in the solidly Republican district. Washington’s jungle primary advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so Republican vote fragmentation and candidate positioning on endorsements and resources will determine which contenders advance to the November general election. No primary-specific polling has surfaced recently.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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