Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida has transformed FL-22 from a safe Democratic seat into a lean Republican contest according to Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections ratings updated in early May 2026, incorporating more conservative areas from Palm Beach and Broward counties. Incumbent Lois Frankel shifted her candidacy to the safer new CD-23 on May 7, leaving an open race with a crowded eight-way Republican primary led by fundraising standouts Dan Franzese (2024 nominee, $384K cash-on-hand) and self-funded Herbert Wertheim ($2.5M), against Democrats Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle. Despite forecaster leans toward Republicans, trader consensus favors Democrats at 60% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in GOP consolidation ahead of the August 18 primaries and Frankel's prior dominance in the district. No public polling available.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,103 거래량
$14,103 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
40%
$14,103 거래량
$14,103 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,816 거래량
60%
Republican Party
$7,287 거래량
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida has transformed FL-22 from a safe Democratic seat into a lean Republican contest according to Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections ratings updated in early May 2026, incorporating more conservative areas from Palm Beach and Broward counties. Incumbent Lois Frankel shifted her candidacy to the safer new CD-23 on May 7, leaving an open race with a crowded eight-way Republican primary led by fundraising standouts Dan Franzese (2024 nominee, $384K cash-on-hand) and self-funded Herbert Wertheim ($2.5M), against Democrats Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle. Despite forecaster leans toward Republicans, trader consensus favors Democrats at 60% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in GOP consolidation ahead of the August 18 primaries and Frankel's prior dominance in the district. No public polling available.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$14,103종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida has transformed FL-22 from a safe Democratic seat into a lean Republican contest according to Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections ratings updated in early May 2026, incorporating more conservative areas from Palm Beach and Broward counties. Incumbent Lois Frankel shifted her candidacy to the safer new CD-23 on May 7, leaving an open race with a crowded eight-way Republican primary led by fundraising standouts Dan Franzese (2024 nominee, $384K cash-on-hand) and self-funded Herbert Wertheim ($2.5M), against Democrats Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle. Despite forecaster leans toward Republicans, trader consensus favors Democrats at 60% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in GOP consolidation ahead of the August 18 primaries and Frankel's prior dominance in the district. No public polling available.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,103종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mid-decade redistricting in Florida has transformed FL-22 from a safe Democratic seat into a lean Republican contest according to Sabato's Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections ratings updated in early May 2026, incorporating more conservative areas from Palm Beach and Broward counties. Incumbent Lois Frankel shifted her candidacy to the safer new CD-23 on May 7, leaving an open race with a crowded eight-way Republican primary led by fundraising standouts Dan Franzese (2024 nominee, $384K cash-on-hand) and self-funded Herbert Wertheim ($2.5M), against Democrats Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle. Despite forecaster leans toward Republicans, trader consensus favors Democrats at 60% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty in GOP consolidation ahead of the August 18 primaries and Frankel's prior dominance in the district. No public polling available.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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