Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym's unopposed victory in the May 5, 2026, primary has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican hold in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, an R+13 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing northern Indiana counties like Elkhart and St. Joseph. Democrat Jamee Decio emerged from a contested primary as the nominee, but her campaign lacks the name recognition or fundraising edge to threaten Yakym's track record of comfortable general election margins since his 2022 special election win. This commanding position reflects incumbency advantage and the district's reliable Republican turnout in midterms. Realistic challenges include a major scandal hitting Yakym, a national Democratic wave boosting turnout in battleground areas, or late polling shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$891 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$450 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym's unopposed victory in the May 5, 2026, primary has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican hold in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, an R+13 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing northern Indiana counties like Elkhart and St. Joseph. Democrat Jamee Decio emerged from a contested primary as the nominee, but her campaign lacks the name recognition or fundraising edge to threaten Yakym's track record of comfortable general election margins since his 2022 special election win. This commanding position reflects incumbency advantage and the district's reliable Republican turnout in midterms. Realistic challenges include a major scandal hitting Yakym, a national Democratic wave boosting turnout in battleground areas, or late polling shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$1,341종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym's unopposed victory in the May 5, 2026, primary has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican hold in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, an R+13 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing northern Indiana counties like Elkhart and St. Joseph. Democrat Jamee Decio emerged from a contested primary as the nominee, but her campaign lacks the name recognition or fundraising edge to threaten Yakym's track record of comfortable general election margins since his 2022 special election win. This commanding position reflects incumbency advantage and the district's reliable Republican turnout in midterms. Realistic challenges include a major scandal hitting Yakym, a national Democratic wave boosting turnout in battleground areas, or late polling shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,341종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym's unopposed victory in the May 5, 2026, primary has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican hold in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, an R+13 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index encompassing northern Indiana counties like Elkhart and St. Joseph. Democrat Jamee Decio emerged from a contested primary as the nominee, but her campaign lacks the name recognition or fundraising edge to threaten Yakym's track record of comfortable general election margins since his 2022 special election win. This commanding position reflects incumbency advantage and the district's reliable Republican turnout in midterms. Realistic challenges include a major scandal hitting Yakym, a national Democratic wave boosting turnout in battleground areas, or late polling shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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